North Carolina Tar Heels vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 3/19/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, March 19, 2022

Location: Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: North Carolina (+6)

The Baylor Bears (27-6) will go up against the North Carolina Tar Heels (25-9) at Dickies Arena on Saturday. Baylor is 6-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 149.5.

The North Carolina Tar Heels faced Marquette and walked away with a win by a score of 95-63 in their last contest. North Carolina ended the contest having earned a 45.9% FG percentage (34 out of 74) and converted 13 of their 35 3-point shots. At the free throw line, the Tar Heels knocked down 14 of their 17 attempts for a percentage of 82.4%. In relation to hauling in rebounds, they earned 46 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 29 assists in the game while forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and having 4 steals. Concerning defense, North Carolina let their opponent shoot 35.6% from the floor on 26 out of 73 shooting. Marquette doled out 15 assists and had 5 steals for the game. Furthermore, Marquette snagged 33 rebounds (10 offensive, 23 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Marquette finished 37.5% when shooting free throws by knocking down 3 of their 8 shots. They also made 8 of their 31 attempts from distance. Concerning personal fouls, the Tar Heels finished with 11 and Marquette accumulated 15 personal fouls.

Brady Manek is one player who was a factor in this game. He finished the game shooting 66.7% from the floor and also dished out 3 assists. He was on the court for 33 minutes and also totaled 11 rebounds. He accounted for 28 points on 10 of 15 shooting.

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North Carolina heads into this contest with a mark of 25-9 for the year. They turn the ball over 11.6 times per game and as a team are committing 14.3 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, North Carolina is pulling in 40.1 rebounds per contest and has totaled 518 assists so far this year, which is 27th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Tar Heels are shooting 36.2% on three-point shots (286 of 790) and 77.4% from the free throw line. They are averaging 78.0 points per game (32nd in the country) while hitting 45.3% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Tar Heels are able to force 10.0 turnovers per game while drawing 16.3 fouls. They give up 34.6% on 3-point attempts and they are 246th in college basketball in points per game allowed (71.5). The Tar Heels defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.1% (915 of 2,123) and they relinquish 32.2 rebounds per game as a team. They rank 281st in college basketball in giving up assists with 442 conceded so far this year.

For their last game, the Baylor Bears got the win with a final of 85-49 when they faced Norfolk State. With respect to how they cleaned up the glass, Baylor permitted Norfolk State to pull down 24 in total (13 offensive). They shot 22.7% from three-point range by going 5 out of 22 and finished the game at 8 of 10 at the free throw line (80.0%). The Bears permitted Norfolk State to convert 18 of 57 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 31.6% in the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Bears shot 31 out of 54 from the floor which had them sitting at 57.4%. In the matter of 3-pointers, Baylor converted 11 of their 27 attempts (40.7%). They were able to make 12 of them for a clip of 57.1%. Norfolk State was called for 17 personal fouls for the game which took the Bears to the charity stripe for a total of 21 attempts. They also coughed it up 10 times, while earning 6 steals in this contest. The Bears recorded 22 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 33 for this game.

Matthew Mayer ended up being a major contributor for the Bears for this game. He converted 8 of 12 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and tallied 6 rebounds. He racked up 22 points in his 27 mins on the hardwood and earned 1 assist in the game.

Baylor has a record of 27-6 on the season. The Bears commit 15.8 fouls per contest and they connect on 69.3% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 16.1 times per contest (20th in D-1) and they lose possession via turnover 12.4 times per contest. Baylor has accumulated 2,533 pts this season (76.8 per contest) and they average 37.2 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Bears are hitting on 46.7% from the field, which has them ranked 46th in D-1.

The Baylor defense concedes 29.7% on shots from 3-point land (196 of 660) and their opponents are making 70.3% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 12.9 assists and 31.9 boards on a nightly basis, which is 200th and 51st in the country. The Bears defensively are ranked 29th in college basketball in PPG surrendered with 63.2. They are forcing 15.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 42.1% from the floor (119th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take North Carolina (+6)

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