Nicholls State Colonels vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 3/15/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Nicholls Colonels vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Tuesday, March 15, 2022

Location: Moody Coliseum in University Park, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Nicholls State (+16)

The Nicholls Colonels (21-11) are en route to Moody Coliseum on Tuesday where they will take on the SMU Mustangs (23-8). SMU opens as 16-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 149.5.

The Nicholls Colonels took the court against Texas A&M Community College and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 71-64 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Colonels finished with 15 and Texas A&M Community College racked up 17 personal fouls. They also buried 7 of their 20 tries from beyond the perimeter. Texas A&M Community College ended up going 73.7% when shooting free throws by knocking down 14 of 19 shots. Additionally, Texas A&M Community College pulled down 40 rebounds (12 offensive, 28 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Texas A&M Community College recorded 17 dimes and had 3 steals for this contest. Pertaining to defense, Nicholls State allowed 42.4% from the field on 25 out of 59 shooting. They also dished out 10 dimes in the game in addition to forcing 12 turnovers and getting 9 steals. With regard to pulling down rebounds, they earned a total of 31 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Colonels converted 12 of their 17 attempts for a rate of 70.6%. Nicholls State walked away from the contest with a 35.9% field goal percentage (23 of 64) and converted 6 out of their 30 shots from distance.

DeVante Carter is a guy who was a major factor for this contest. He ended up scoring 17 points on 5 out of 11 shooting. He was on the court for 38 minutes played and collected 9 rebounds. He finished the game at 45.5% from the field and totaled 4 dimes.

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Nicholls State comes into this game with a record of 21-11 for the season. They lose possession via turnover 12.3 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 18.2 fouls per game. As a unit, Nicholls State is pulling in 38.4 rebounds per contest and has 432 dimes on the season, which is 132nd in the nation in terms of passing. The Colonels are hitting 33.0% on shots from distance (262 of 793) and 63.1% from the charity stripe. They average 79.1 pts per contest (20th in the country) while hitting 47.3% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Colonels are able to force 15.3 turnovers per game and they draw 14.9 personal fouls. They are ranked 253rd in the country in giving up assists with 425 conceded this season. The Colonels defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 41.6% (793 of 1,905) and they surrender 36.5 rebounds per game as a unit. They are giving up 34.0% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 245th in D-1 in PPG from their opponents (71.4).

In their last game, the SMU Mustangs went home defeated by a final of 70-63 when they played Memphis. With respect to attacking the glass, SMU allowed Memphis to pull down 46 in total (15 offensive). They finished 44.4% from three-point range by going 4 of 9 and ended up shooting 18 of 26 from the charity stripe (69.2%). The Mustangs allowed Memphis to make 24 of their 58 attempts from the field which had them shooting 41.4% in this matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Mustangs walked away from this one shooting 20 out of 52 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.5%. When talking about shots from beyond the arc, SMU converted 5 of their 20 tries (25.0%). They were able to knock down 18 of them for a rate of 75.0%. Memphis committed 19 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Mustangs to the free throw line for a total of 24 shots. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while recording 10 steals for the matchup. The Mustangs earned 18 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards totaling 22 for the matchup.

Marcus Weathers was important for the Mustangs in the game. He converted 4 of 9 for this contest giving him a rate of 44.4%, and earned 6 rebounds. He scored 16 points in his 37 minutes on the court and tallied 2 assists for this contest.

SMU has a win-loss mark of 23-8 this season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mustangs are connecting on 44.4% from the field, which ranks 154th in college basketball. SMU has earned 2,305 points on the season (74.4 per game) and they collect 37.6 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 14.0 times per game (110th in college basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.3 times per contest. The Mustangs commit 15.3 personal fouls every game and they hit 74.2% from the free throw line.

The Mustangs on defense are ranked 120th in college hoops in points allowed per contest with 67.2. They are able to force 11.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 39.8% from the floor (25th in D-1). The SMU defense allows 30.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (197 of 651) and opponents are converting on 69.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 13.0 dimes and 36.8 rebounds every game, which is 214th and 302nd in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Nicholls State (+16)

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