New Mexico State Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, 3/19/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Saturday, March 19, 2022

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: New Mexico State (+7)

KeyBank Center is the site where the Arkansas Razorbacks (26-8) will attempt to defeat the New Mexico State Aggies (27-6) on Saturday. Arkansas opens as 7-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 138.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies faced Connecticut and went home with a win by a final score of 70-63 in their last contest. When discussing fouls, the Aggies ended up walking away with 16 while Connecticut totaled 17 fouls. They made 7 of their 23 attempts from distance. Connecticut ended up going 92.3% when shooting free throws by making 12 of 13 shots. Moreover, Connecticut collected 19 boards (4 offensive, 15 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Connecticut totaled 15 assists and had 5 steals for the game. When discussing defense, New Mexico State allowed their opponent to shoot 43.1% from the field on 22 of 51 shooting. They also distributed 12 assists in the matchup while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and earning 4 steals. With regard to hauling in boards, they earned 21 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Aggies converted 13 of their 13 tries for a percentage of 100.0%. New Mexico State finished having earned a 46.0% FG percentage (23 out of 50) and knocked down 11 of their 17 three-point attempts.

Teddy Allen is a guy who played a role in this matchup. He recorded 37 points on 10 of 24 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 39 mins and collected 6 rebounds. He ended up shooting 41.7% from the floor and earned 3 dimes.

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New Mexico State steps onto the court with a record of 27-6 for the campaign. They average 73.2 points per game (119th in college hoops) while hitting 45.8% from the field. The Aggies are hitting 33.3% on shots from downtown (262 of 786) and 70.4% from the charity stripe. As a unit, New Mexico State is collecting 38.1 boards per contest and has 457 assists on the season, which has them ranked 88th in the country in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 13.9 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 15.9 fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Aggies are able to force 11.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.9 fouls. They are 110th in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 372 relinquished for the season. The Aggies defensively are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 39.2% (754 of 1,925) and they concede 31.0 rebounds per game as a group. They surrender 30.4% on three-point shots and they are 50th in college basketball in opponents PPG (65.0).

For their last game, the Arkansas Razorbacks walked away with a victory by a final of 75-71 when they faced Vermont. Regarding rebounding, Arkansas allowed Vermont to collect 31 in total (5 on the offensive side). They finished 37.5% from three-point range by going 9 of 24 and ended up shooting 10 out of 17 at the charity stripe (58.8%). The Razorbacks permitted Vermont to knock down 26 out of 58 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.8% for the contest. Overall, the Razorbacks ended up shooting 24 for 56 from the field which had them at 42.9%. Concerning shots from downtown, Arkansas made 7 out of their 21 attempts (33.3%). They were able to knock down 20 of the free throw tries for a rate of 80.0%. Vermont committed 21 fouls in this matchup which took the Razorbacks to the free throw line for 25 attempts. They gave up possession 5 times, while getting 2 steals for this contest. The Razorbacks earned 30 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds totaling 35 for this game.

Stanley Umude was important for the Razorbacks for this game. He buried 6 out of 11 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 54.5%, and had 9 rebounds. He scored 21 points in his 40 minutes on the court and had 3 dimes for this contest.

Arkansas has a mark of 26-8 on the campaign. The Razorbacks commit 16.9 fouls per contest while shooting 75.5% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 14.0 times per contest (108th in the nation) and they are giving up possession 12.4 times per contest. Arkansas has totaled 2,614 pts on the season (76.9 per game) and they pull in 38.2 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Razorbacks are shooting 43.9% from the floor, which is ranked 191st in the country.

The Razorbacks on defense are ranked 165th in college hoops in points allowed per game with 68.6. They are forcing their opponents into 14.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.2% from the floor (61st in college hoops). The Arkansas defense allows 32.9% on shots from 3-point land (254 of 772) and opponents are converting on 72.8% of their foul shots. They surrender 12.9 dimes and 34.4 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 201st and 165th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New Mexico State (+7)

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