New Mexico Lobos vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 2/28/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Monday, February 28, 2022

Location: Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN+

The New Mexico Lobos (12-17) are traveling to Save Mart Center on Monday where they will compete against the Fresno State Bulldogs (17-10).

The New Mexico Lobos played Air Force and earned the victory with a final of 69-65 in their last game. New Mexico walked away from the contest with a 38.9% field goal percentage (21 of 54) and knocked down 2 out of their 16 3-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Lobos made 25 of their 30 tries for a percentage of 83.3%. When it comes to hauling in boards, they earned 35 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 7 assists in this matchup as well as forcing 12 turnovers and getting 4 steals. In the matter of defending, New Mexico let their opponent shoot 45.3% from the floor on 24 of 53 shooting. Air Force earned 15 assists and had 4 steals in the game. On top of that, Air Force totaled 33 boards (10 offensive, 23 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Air Force walked away from this one shooting 56.5% when shooting free throws by converting 13 of 23 attempts. They also converted 4 of their 17 attempts from three-point range. In regard to personal fouls, the Lobos walked away with 20 while Air Force recorded 21 personal fouls.

Jay Allen-Tovar is a player who was a major factor in this matchup. He ended up finishing with 11 points on 5 out of 8 shooting. He played 26 mins and also totaled 6 boards. He finished the contest at 62.5% from the field but finished the game without a dime.

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New Mexico steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 12-17 this year. They are losing possession via turnover 11.8 times per game and as a unit they are committing 18.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, New Mexico is pulling in 34.0 rebounds per game and has accumulated 344 assists this season, which ranks 239th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Lobos are shooting 34.4% on shots from beyond the arc (228 of 663) and 74.3% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 74.5 points per contest (103rd in college hoops) while connecting on 43.7% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Lobos have forced 13.2 turnovers per game and they draw 17.7 fouls. They currently rank 293rd in college basketball in allowing assists with 410 relinquished this year. The Lobos defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 45.6% (786 of 1,724) and they surrender 37.8 rebounds per game as a unit. They surrender 32.4% on 3-point shots while they are 322nd in college basketball in points per game from their opponents (75.7).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Fresno State Bulldogs took home the win by a final score of 65-40 when they played Air Force. In relation to how they rebounded, Fresno State permitted Air Force to collect 15 in all (2 offensive). They finished 25.0% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 7 of 28 and finished the game at 3 of 3 at the free throw line (100.0%). The Bulldogs allowed Air Force to make 15 of 50 tries from the floor which had them at 30.0% in this contest. When the final whistle was blown, the Bulldogs walked away from this one shooting 23 for 40 from the floor which had them shooting 57.5%. When discussing shots from downtown, Fresno State knocked down 5 of their 14 tries (35.7%). They were able to knock down 14 of them for a percentage of 87.5%. Air Force committed 15 fouls in this game which got the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 16 tries. They also coughed up the ball 11 times, while recording 2 steals for the game. The Bulldogs snagged 29 defensive boards and 3 offensive boards totaling 32 in the game.

Orlando Robinson ended up being a major contributor for the Bulldogs for this game. He racked up 26 points in his 33 minutes on the hardwood and had 3 assists in this contest. He converted 8 of 12 in this contest giving him a rate of 66.7%, and accumulated 6 rebounds.

Fresno State has a record of 17-10 on the year. In terms of offensive execution, the Bulldogs are shooting 44.1% from the field, which is 186th in the nation. Fresno State has totaled 1,755 pts for the year (65.0 per contest) and they pull in 33.9 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 11.6 times per contest (285th in college basketball) and they turn the ball over 10.7 times per contest. The Bulldogs have committed 15.1 personal fouls every game and they hit 74.8% from the charity stripe.

The Bulldogs on the defensive side of the court are 3rd in college hoops in points allowed per game with 57.4. They have forced 12.3 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.9% from the floor (53rd in college basketball). The Fresno State defense surrenders 32.2% on three-point shots (188 of 584) and opponents are connecting on 69.9% of their foul shots. They surrender 10.4 dimes and 29.1 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 34th and 7th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Fresno State

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