Missouri State Bears vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 12/7/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri State Bears vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Wednesday, December 7, 2022

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: Hulu Live TV

The Missouri State Bears (4-4) are hitting the road to University Credit Union Pavilion on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the St. Mary's Gaels (6-3).

The Missouri State Bears faced off with Bradley and took a loss by a final of 58-40 in their last contest. Missouri State finished with a 31.4% field goal percentage (16 of 51) and converted 2 out of their 15 shots from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, the Bears made 6 of 11 attempts for a rate of 54.5%. In regard to hauling in boards, they earned 25 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 5 assists for the matchup as well as creating 15 turnovers and earning 10 steals. When talking about defense, Missouri State allowed their opponent to shoot 44.2% from the field on 23 out of 52 shooting. Bradley doled out 15 assists and had 8 steals for this game. Additionally, Bradley snagged 37 rebounds (9 offensive, 28 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Bradley finished shooting 100.0% at the free throw line by making 4 of 4 tries. They converted 8 of their 24 shots from distance. In regard to fouls, the Bears ended up finishing with 11 while Bradley finished the game with 16 fouls.

Donovan Clay is a guy who had an impact for this contest. He finished the contest at 57.1% from the field and earned 7 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 33 mins played and also grabbed 9 rebounds. He recorded 17 points on 8 of 14 shooting.

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Missouri State comes into this one with a mark of 4-4 for the season. They have an average of 65.1 pts per game (324th in Division 1) while connecting on 42.9% from the floor. The Bears are hitting 33.5% on 3-pointers (61 of 182) and 57.9% from the free throw line. As a team, Missouri State is pulling in 36.0 boards per contest and is sitting with 97 assists for the season, which ranks 297th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. They are losing possession via turnover 12.0 times per game and as a group they are committing 16.0 personal fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Bears are forcing 14.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 14.1 personal fouls. They currently rank 66th in college basketball in giving up assists with 86 surrendered this year. The Bears defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 39.2% (166 of 424) and they relinquish 33.5 rebounds per game as a squad. They are conceding 32.5% on shots from downtown and they rank 25th in college basketball in points per game allowed (59.0).

In their last game, the St. Mary's Gaels took a loss by a score of 53-48 against Houston. The Gaels earned 23 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 29 in this game. They coughed it up 12 times, while earning 3 steals for this contest. Houston committed 13 personal fouls in this game which got the Gaels to the charity stripe for a total of 8 tries. They were able to bury 5 of the free throw tries for a rate of 62.5%. In relation to shooting from downtown, St. Mary's made 9 of their 22 attempts (40.9%). In all, the Gaels walked away from this one shooting 17 for 46 from the field which had them shooting 37.0%. The Gaels permitted Houston to convert 21 out of 57 tries from the field which had them shooting 36.8% in the game. They shot 27.3% from downtown by shooting 3 of 11 and finished the game at 8 out of 9 from the free throw line (88.9%). When talking about team rebounding, St. Mary's permitted Houston to pull down 26 overall (10 on the offensive side).

Logan Johnson ended up being a major contributor for the Gaels in the game. He converted 5 of 8 for the matchup for a rate of 62.5%, and had 6 rebounds. He totaled 17 points in his 39 mins on the court and had 5 dimes for the matchup.

St. Mary's has a mark of 6-3 for the year. In terms of offensive execution, the Gaels are shooting 44.6% from the floor, which ranks them 188th in college hoops. St. Mary's has totaled 620 points on the season (68.9 per game) and they snag 37.4 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 12.7 times per game (239th in college hoops) and they are giving up possession 12.0 times per contest. The Gaels are committing 14.8 fouls every game and they connect on 63.6% from the free throw line.

The St. Mary's defense allows 34.0% on 3-pointers (51 of 150) and their opponents are converting on 76.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 7.4 assists and 29.3 total rebounds per game, ranking them 3rd and 11th in the nation. The Gaels are ranked 12th in college basketball in PPG allowed with 57.0. They are forcing their opponents into 13.6 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 38.7% from the field (42nd in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Missouri State

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