Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 12/28/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Wednesday, December 28, 2022

Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA

TV: FS1

The Air Force Falcons (9-4) are traveling to Viejas Arena on Wednesday where they will take on the San Diego State Aztecs (9-3).

The Air Force Falcons faced Northern Colorado and went home with a win by a final score of 67-65 in their last game. With respect to personal fouls, the Falcons ended up finishing with 16 and Northern Colorado had 19 personal fouls. They made 5 of 23 attempts from distance. Northern Colorado went 73.7% from the charity stripe by converting 14 of 19 tries. On top of that, Northern Colorado grabbed 38 boards (8 offensive, 30 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Northern Colorado earned 13 assists and had 2 steals in this contest. In reference to defense, Air Force allowed 39.7% from the field on 23 out of 58 shooting. They also distributed 11 dimes in the game while forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and getting 3 steals. When it comes to rebounding, they compiled a total of 32 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Falcons buried 14 of 21 tries for a percentage of 66.7%. Air Force wrapped up the game having earned a 43.6% FG percentage (24 out of 55) and converted 5 of their 22 3-pointers.

Jake Heidbreder is one guy who was a major contributor for the game. He accounted for 17 points on 5 of 10 shooting. He played 32 mins and also pulled down 3 boards. He finished 50.0% from the field and also distributed 1 assist.

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Air Force steps onto the hardwood with a record of 9-4 so far this year. They turn it over 12.4 times per game and as a team are committing 16.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Air Force is pulling in 31.8 boards per contest and has accounted for 205 dimes this year, which has them ranked 49th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Falcons are connecting on 36.2% on shots from 3-point land (111 of 307) and 69.5% from the charity stripe. They average 70.1 points per outing (230th in the nation) while hitting 47.7% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Falcons are forcing 12.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.2 personal fouls. They rank 29th in the nation in allowing assists to their opponents with 118 surrendered on the season. The Falcons defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 40.1% (283 of 705) and they relinquish 32.4 rebounds per game as a unit. They give up 24.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 31st in college basketball in PPG from their opponents (61.5).

When they last stepped on the court, the San Diego State Aztecs got the win with a final of 62-46 when they faced UC-San Diego. With respect to cleaning up the glass, San Diego State permitted UC-San Diego to get 27 in total (6 offensive). They went 17.9% from three-point range by hitting 5 out of 28 and walked away from this one shooting 5 of 8 from the free throw line (62.5%). The Aztecs permitted UC-San Diego to knock down 18 out of their 57 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 31.6% for the matchup. When the final whistle was blown, the Aztecs finished 22 out of 61 from the floor which had them shooting 36.1%. When talking about shooting from downtown, San Diego State buried 10 of their 24 tries (41.7%). They were able to bury 8 of the free throws for a percentage of 80.0%. UC-San Diego was called for 14 personal fouls for the game which got the Aztecs to the free throw line for a total of 10 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while recording 9 steals in the game. The Aztecs snagged 33 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 44 for the game.

Darrion Trammell ended up being a factor for the Aztecs for the matchup. He converted 6 out of 11 in this matchup for a rate of 54.5%, and tallied 5 rebounds. He had 18 points in his 28 minutes of playing time and added 4 assists in the game.

San Diego State has a mark of 9-3 on the campaign. The Aztecs commit 16.7 fouls per contest while shooting 73.1% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 14.3 times per game (139th in the nation) and they turn it over 12.6 times per contest. San Diego State has accounted for 906 points so far this year (75.5 per contest) and they snag 35.8 boards per contest. As an offense, the Aztecs are shooting 45.4% from the field, which is 150th in college basketball.

The Aztecs are ranked 98th in college basketball in points allowed per game with 65.4. They have forced 16.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 41.8% from the floor (134th in college basketball). The San Diego State defense gives up 30.0% on shots from behind the 3-point line (78 of 260) and opponents are knocking down 71.9% of their free throw shots. They surrender 10.1 assists and 32.9 boards per game, which is 33rd and 118th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego State

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