Villanova Wildcats vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 3/27/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Villanova Wildcats vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, March 27, 2021

Location: Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Villanova (+5.5)

The Villanova Wildcats (18-6) head to Hinkle Fieldhouse on Saturday where they'll take on the Baylor Bears (24-2) in the Sweet 16. Baylor opens this contest as 5.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 131.5.

Villanova comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 18-6 for the season. The Wildcats are shooting 35.8% on three-point attempts (226 of 631) and 76.4% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 75.8 points per game (72nd in college basketball) while hitting 45.4% from the field. They turn it over 8.8 times per game and as a squad they are committing 15.5 fouls per game. As a unit, Villanova is collecting 34.0 boards per contest and has racked up 366 dimes for the season, which is 88th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. Defensively, the Wildcats are forcing their opponents into 12.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.9 personal fouls. They are surrendering 34.9% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 74th in college basketball in PPG allowed (66.7). The Wildcats defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.1% (586 of 1,329) and they relinquish 32.8 boards per game as a squad. They are ranked 139th in college basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 290 surrendered on the year.

The Villanova Wildcats faced off with the North Texas Mean Green and walked away with a win by a score of 84-61 in their last contest. Villanova finished the game with a 55.4% FG percentage (31 out of 56) and knocked down 15 out of their 30 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Wildcats made 7 of 9 attempts for a rate of 77.8%. Regarding rebounding, they collected 26 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 19 assists in the game in addition to forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and having 6 steals. In reference to the defense, Villanova allowed the other team to shoot 40.4% from the floor on 21 of 52 shooting. North Texas earned 12 assists and had 2 steals for the game. Moreover, North Texas snagged 26 boards (8 offensive, 18 defensive) and earned 1 block. North Texas went 91.7% from the charity stripe by burying 11 of 12 attempts. They also made 8 out of their 26 shots from distance.

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl is one guy who came through in the game. He scored 18 points on 8 out of 14 shooting. He was on the court for 36 mins played and also snagged 6 rebounds. Robinson-Earl finished the contest at 57.1% from the floor and distributed 6 dimes. One more player that had an impact in the game for the Wildcats was Justin Moore. He grabbed 4 rebounds in 34 minutes played. He shot 50.0% from the floor in this contest by shooting 6-of-12 (15 points). Overall, Moore earned 5 assists.

Baylor has a record of 24-2 for the season. Baylor has scored 2,180 pts so far this year (83.8 per contest) and they snag 36.5 boards per contest. The Bears commit 17.0 personal fouls every game and they hit 69.9% from the free throw line. On the offensive side of the ball, the Bears are shooting 48.8% from the floor, which has them ranked 25th in college basketball. They are dishing out assists 16.9 times per contest (12th in the nation) and they turn it over 12.0 times per contest. The Bears on the defensive side of the court are 59th in college basketball in PPG given up with 65.8. They have relinquished 12.3 assists and 32.2 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 126th and 54th in college hoops. The Baylor defense gives up 33.7% on shots from 3-point land (168 of 499) and their opposition makes 69.1% of their foul shots. They are forcing their opponents into 17.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 43.0% from the field (163rd in D-1).

In their last game, the Baylor Bears went home victorious with a score of 76-63 when they faced the Wisconsin Badgers. The Bears earned 20 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 25 for the matchup. They also turned the ball over 4 times, while getting 6 steals for this contest. The Badgers committed 18 personal fouls for the game which took the Bears to the free throw line for a total of 23 tries. They were able to make 18 of the free throws for a percentage of 78.3%. In the matter of 3-point shots, Baylor made 8 out of their 17 tries (47.1%). In all, the Bears finished the game shooting 25 out of 55 from the field which gave them a rate of 45.5%. The Bears allowed the Badgers to convert 25 of 55 tries from the floor which had them shooting 45.5% for the contest. They shot 38.1% from distance by shooting 8 of 21 and ended up shooting 5 out of 7 from the free throw line (71.4%). Concerning cleaning the glass, Baylor allowed Wisconsin to collect 29 in total (7 on the offensive side).

Davion Mitchell pitched in for the Bears for the matchup. He made 6 out of 8 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 75.0%, and tallied 1 rebound. Mitchell scored 16 points in his 37 minutes on the court and totaled 8 assists for this contest. Someone else that was pivotal for Baylor was Jared Butler. He ended up walking away with 2 dimes in 29 mins on the court, and he knocked down 5 out of 11 from the floor. Butler finished going 45.5% from the field as well as collecting 16 points and 4 total rebounds.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baylor (-5.5)

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