Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 1/7/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Thursday, January 7, 2021

Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Nevada (+11.5)

The Nevada Wolf Pack (8-3) head to Viejas Arena on Thursday where they'll take on the San Diego State Aztecs (7-2). Nevada opens this contest as 11.5-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 138.5.

Nevada will enter this matchup with a win-loss mark of 8-3 for the year. They turn it over 13.7 times per contest and as a group they commit 19.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Nevada is snagging 38.0 rebounds per game and is sitting with 152 dimes this season, which is 63rd in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Wolf Pack are connecting on 34.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (82 of 237) and 73.1% from the free throw line. They are averaging 72.3 points per contest (185th in D-1) while going 44.3% from the field. Defensively, the Wolf Pack have forced 12.5 turnovers per game while drawing 19.6 personal fouls. The Wolf Pack defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 39.0% (246 of 630) and they surrender 34.4 rebounds per game as a group. They currently rank 304th in college basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 150 relinquished for the campaign. They are relinquishing 31.8% from 3-point land and they are 103rd in the country in opponents PPG (66.6).

The Nevada Wolf Pack stepped onto the hardwood against the New Mexico Lobos and took home the win by a score of 84-74 in their last contest. Nevada finished the contest with a 49.0% field goal percentage (25 out of 51) and converted 13 of their 25 3-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Wolf Pack buried 21 of their 25 shots for a percentage of 84.0%. In the matter of pulling down rebounds, they earned 29 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 17 dimes in this matchup while getting 5 steals and 2 blocks. When discussing the defense, Nevada allowed the other team to shoot 49.0% from the floor on 25 of 51 shooting. New Mexico earned 16 assists and had 4 steals in this matchup. Furthurmore, the Lobos grabbed 25 rebounds (10 offensive, 15 defensive) and added 2 rejections. New Mexico finished shooting 65.5% from the charity stripe by making 19 of their 29 attempts. They also buried 9 of 23 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Grant Sherfield is a guy who was a contributor in the matchup. He ended up with 28 points on 6 out of 13 shooting. He played for 39 mins and totaled 4 boards. Sherfield walked away from this one shooting 46.2% from the floor and also recorded 8 dimes. An additional guy that had an impact in the matchup for the Wolf Pack was Desmond Cambridge. He pulled down 6 rebounds and had 4 dimes. He finished the game shooting 29.4% from the floor in this game by connecting on 5-of-17 (15 points). When the final whistle was blown, Cambridge saw the court for 34 min.

San Diego State has a record of 7-2 this season. The Aztecs commit 18.9 fouls per contest and they hit 71.3% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 14.3 times per contest (129th in D-1) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.0 times per contest. San Diego State has earned 659 pts so far this season (73.2 per contest) and they pull down 34.4 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Aztecs are connecting on 45.2% from the floor, which ranks 157th in Division 1. The Aztecs on defense are ranked 17th in college basketball in points per game surrendered with 60.1. They relinquish 13.1 dimes and 33.6 boards on a nightly basis, which is 195th and 111th in those defensive categories. The San Diego State defense allows 32.5% on shots from beyond the arc (69 of 212) and their opposition knocks down 70.7% of their free throw attempts. They are forcing their opponents into 15.9 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 38.7% from the field (34th in Division 1).

In their last game, the San Diego State Aztecs walked away with a victory by a final of 78-65 when they faced the Colorado State Rams. The Aztecs pulled down 24 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards for a total of 30 in this matchup. They also blocked 4 attempts while recording 8 steals for the contest. The Rams had 16 personal fouls for the game which got the Aztecs to the charity stripe for a total of 11 tries. They were able to knock down 6 of those for a clip of 54.5%. When it comes to 3-pointers, San Diego State made 14 of 27 attempts (51.9%). When the final whistle was blown, the Aztecs walked away from this one shooting 29 for 52 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.8%. The Aztecs allowed the Rams to make 20 of their 47 attempts from the field which had them shooting 42.6% in this matchup. They shot 35.0% from three-point range by going 7 of 20 and ended up shooting 18 of 25 at the free throw line (72.0%). With respect to cleaning up the glass, San Diego State permitted Colorado State to pull down 21 in all (5 on the offensive side).

Jordan Schakel was important for the Aztecs in this game. He knocked down 9 of 12 for the matchup for a rate of 75.0%, which earned him 28 points. Schakel totaled 9 rebounds in his 29 minutes played and earned 3 dimes for the contest. Someone else who came through for San Diego State was Terrell Gomez. He racked up 13 points in 30 minutes played by way of 5 out of 9 shooting in this matchup. Gomez walked away from this one going 55.6% from the floor and also totaling 4 assists and 2 rebounds.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego State (-11.5)

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