Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/5/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Tuesday, January 5, 2021

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Missouri (-2)

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-4) host the Missouri Tigers (7-1) at Humphrey Coliseum on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Missouri as 2-point favorites. The total is set at 134.5.

Missouri comes into this one with a record of 7-1 on the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.6 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 21.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Missouri is collecting 40.0 boards per game and has totaled 95 dimes on the season, which is 234th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Tigers are shooting 27.2% on shots from distance (46 of 169) and 72.5% from the free throw line. They have an average of 73.0 pts per game (171st in college hoops) while going 44.2% from the field. On defense, the Tigers are able to force 11.6 turnovers per game while drawing 21.3 fouls. They are ranked 67th in Division 1 in giving up assists with 76 conceded this season. The Tigers defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 38.3% (187 of 488) and they concede 34.5 boards per game as a squad. They relinquish 26.2% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 104th in college basketball in PPG allowed (66.6).

The Missouri Tigers played the Arkansas Razorbacks and notched a win by a score of 81-68 in their last game. Missouri walked away from the game having earned a 47.1% FG percentage (24 of 51) and converted 5 out of their 19 3-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Tigers made 28 of their 39 tries for a rate of 71.8%. In relation to grabbing boards, they collected 46 with 7 of them being offensive. They also distributed 14 dimes for the matchup as well as getting 3 steals and 2 rejections. In relation to defense, Missouri allowed the other team to go 47.1% from the field on 24 of 51 shooting. Arkansas totaled 7 assists and had 13 steals for the game. On top of that, the Razorbacks collected 32 boards (12 offensive, 20 defensive) and had 2 rejections. Arkansas walked away from this one shooting 67.6% from the charity stripe by making 23 of 34 shots. They also made 7 of their 28 tries from downtown.

Jeremiah Tilmon is one guy who was important in this matchup. He accounted for 25 points on 9 of 13 shooting. He played 28 mins and snagged 11 boards. Tilmon walked away from this one shooting 69.2% from the floor and earned 2 assists. An additional guy that played a role in this game for the Tigers was Xavier Pinson. He totaled 5 boards and accounted for 4 dimes. He went 45.5% from the floor for this game by going 5-of-11 (23 points). When the final whistle blew, Pinson saw the court for 33 minutes.

Mississippi State has a record of 6-4 on the year. When it comes to offense, the Bulldogs are connecting on 45.2% from the floor, which is 154th in the nation. Mississippi State has totaled 740 points for the campaign (74.0 per contest) and they collect 41.4 boards per contest. They are earning an assist 13.5 times per contest (182nd in college basketball) and they turn it over 13.7 times per contest. The Bulldogs have committed 17.0 fouls per contest while shooting 60.4% from the charity stripe. The Bulldogs are ranked 90th in D-1 in points given up per game with 65.9. The Mississippi State defense concedes 35.9% on 3-pointers (90 of 251) and their opponents are making 71.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 14.1 dimes and 32.0 boards per contest, which has them ranked 247th and 65th in college basketball. They are forcing 13.2 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 39.8% from the floor (64th in Division 1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took a loss by a score of 78-73 against the Kentucky Wildcats. The Bulldogs were able to pull down 27 defensive boards and 15 offensive boards totaling 42 for this contest. They turned away 7 tries while recording 10 steals for the matchup. The Wildcats committed 15 personal fouls for the game which got the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 23 shots. They were able to make 16 of them for a clip of 69.6%. When discussing shots from distance, Mississippi State buried 5 of their 15 attempts (33.3%). In all, the Bulldogs finished shooting 26 for 69 from the field which gave them a rate of 37.7%. The Bulldogs permitted the Wildcats to convert 32 of their 77 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.6% for the contest. They went 52.4% from distance by connecting on 11 out of 21 and ended up shooting 3 of 8 from the free throw line (37.5%). When discussing rebounds, Mississippi State allowed Kentucky to snag 45 overall (16 offensive).

D.J. Stewart ended up being a factor for the Bulldogs for the game. He buried 5 of 16 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 31.3%, which had him sitting at 19 points. Stewart pulled down 5 boards in his 47 mins and accumulated 3 dimes in this game. Another guy that was pivotal for Mississippi State was Iverson Molinar. He was able to score 17 points in 44 minutes on the court via 8 out of 21 shooting in this contest. Molinar ended the game having shot 38.1% from the field while also earning 5 assists and 5 rebounds.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mississippi State (+2)

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