Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, 1/23/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Date: Saturday, January 23, 2021

Location: Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Mississippi State (+13)

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-6) are headed to Coleman Coliseum on Saturday where they'll take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (12-3). Alabama opens this game as 13-point favorites. The O/U opens at 147.5.

Mississippi State heads into this one with a record of 9-6 for the campaign. The Bulldogs are hitting 37.2% on 3-point shots (84 of 226) and 62.3% from the free throw line. They have an average of 71.7 points per outing (191st in D-1) while hitting 46.0% from the field. They are giving up possession 13.5 times per game and as a unit they commit 15.7 fouls per game. As a unit, Mississippi State is collecting 39.7 rebounds per contest and has racked up 192 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 91st in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. Defensively, the Bulldogs are forcing their opponents into 12.1 turnovers per game and they draw 17.2 fouls. The Bulldogs defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 40.9% (356 of 870) and they concede 30.8 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 308th in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 204 conceded for the year. They give up 35.2% on shots from distance and they rank 79th in the nation in PPG allowed (66.1).

The Mississippi State Bulldogs faced off with the Ole Miss Rebels and went home with a loss by a final score of 64-46 in their last contest. Mississippi State finished the contest with a 34.6% FG percentage (18 of 52) and made 4 out of their 14 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Bulldogs buried 6 of their 10 attempts for a rate of 60.0%. In the matter of pulling down rebounds, they compiled a total of 30 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 12 dimes in this matchup in addition to earning 6 steals and 5 blocks. When discussing defending, Mississippi State allowed the other team to shoot 34.6% from the field on 18 out of 52 shooting. Ole Miss totaled 10 assists and had 10 steals for this contest. In addition, the Rebels totaled 34 rebounds (9 offensive, 25 defensive) and got 5 blocked shots. Ole Miss finished the contest at 87.5% when shooting free throws by knocking down 7 of 8 tries. They also made 5 out of their 18 attempts from three-point range.

D.J. Stewart is one guy who came through for this contest. He recorded 18 points on 7 of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 37 minutes and also snagged 3 rebounds. Stewart finished the game shooting 43.8% from the field and also earned 2 assists. An additional guy that was a determining factor in this game for the Bulldogs was Tolu Smith. He pulled down 6 boards and also earned 2 dimes. He ended up shooting 40.0% from the field in this matchup via 4-of-10 (10 points). At the conclusion of this game, Smith played for 30 minutes.

Alabama has a mark of 12-3 for the campaign. Alabama has tallied 1,227 points on the season (81.8 per contest) and they pull down 41.2 boards per game. The Crimson Tide commit 18.9 personal fouls every game and they shoot 69.3% from the free throw line. When it comes to executing on offense, the Crimson Tide are connecting on 43.7% from the field, which is 210th in college basketball. They are assisting teammates 14.2 times per game (127th in the country) and they turn it over 13.5 times per game. The Crimson Tide on the defensive side of the court are 189th in college basketball in PPG given up with 70.5. The Alabama defense concedes 29.8% on three-point shots (100 of 336) and opponents are knocking down 68.1% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 10.9 assists and 39.3 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 50th and 314th in those defensive categories. They are forcing their opponents into 15.9 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 40.2% from the field (59th in college basketball).

For their last game, the Alabama Crimson Tide got the win with a final of 105-75 when they played the LSU Tigers. The Crimson Tide corralled 31 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 39 for the matchup. They stuffed 4 tries while recording 7 steals in this game. The Tigers committed 9 fouls for this contest which got the Crimson Tide to the charity stripe for a total of 9 tries. They were able to make 6 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 66.7%. In reference to 3-point attempts, Alabama converted 23 of 43 attempts (53.5%). When the game finished, the Crimson Tide went 38 out of 68 from the field which gave them a percentage of 55.9%. The Crimson Tide permitted the Tigers to bury 28 out of their 74 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.8% in this matchup. They shot 19.2% from three-point range by going 5 of 26 and walked away from this one shooting 14 of 22 from the free throw line (63.6%). Regarding team rebounding, Alabama allowed LSU to snag 35 in all (14 on the offensive glass).

John Petty was important for the Crimson Tide in the matchup. He buried 8 of 11 in this game for a rate of 72.7%, which had him finishing with 24 points. Petty totaled 4 rebounds in his 26 mins and earned 2 dimes in this game. One more player that was pivotal for Alabama was Joshua Primo. He ended up scoring 22 points in his 19 minutes played via 8 out of 10 from the floor for the game. Primo wrapped this one up going 80.0% from the field and also contributing 2 assists and 4 total rebounds.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Mississippi State (+13)

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