Florida State Seminoles vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, 3/28/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Florida State Seminoles vs Michigan Wolverines

Date: Sunday, March 28, 2021

Location: Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Florida State (+3.5)

The Michigan Wolverines (22-4) play the Florida State Seminoles (18-6) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on Sunday in the Sweet 16. The spread on this game has Michigan as 3.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 145.5.

Florida State comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 18-6 so far this season. They turn the ball over 14.4 times per game and as a team are committing 18.2 fouls per game. As a unit, Florida State is grabbing 37.0 boards per contest and is sitting with 353 dimes so far this season, which is 111th in the nation in terms of passing. The Seminoles are shooting 38.2% on 3-point shots (187 of 490) and 73.9% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 78.0 points per contest (40th in Division 1) on 47.8% from the floor. When they are on defense, the Seminoles are able to force 14.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.9 fouls. They are ranked 123rd in Division 1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 280 surrendered so far this season. The Seminoles are giving up a shooting percentage of 39.3% (553 of 1,406) and they concede 32.9 boards per contest as a group. They are giving up 32.6% from beyond the arc while they are 134th in D-1 in PPG allowed (68.9).

The Florida State Seminoles took the court against the Colorado Buffaloes and notched a win by a score of 71-53 in their last game. Florida State walked away from the game having earned a 52.2% field goal percentage (24 out of 46) and made 6 out of their 17 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Seminoles made 17 of their 21 attempts for a rate of 81.0%. With respect to rebounding, they earned 24 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 16 assists in this matchup while forcing 18 turnovers and having 10 steals. With regard to defense, Florida State allowed the other team to go 35.7% from the field on 20 out of 56 shooting. Colorado recorded 12 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. In addition, Colorado snagged 29 rebounds (15 offensive, 14 defensive) and got 2 blocks. Colorado finished shooting 63.6% at the free throw line by making 7 of their 11 shots. They also converted 6 of 25 tries from beyond the arc.

Anthony Polite is someone who played a role for this game. He accumulated 22 points on 8 out of 12 shooting. He played 28 mins and pulled down 5 boards. Polite walked away from this one shooting 66.7% from the floor and recorded 4 dimes. An additional guy that played a role in this game for the Seminoles was Raiquan Gray. He totaled 6 rebounds in his 28 min on the basketball court. He finished the game at 25.0% from the floor for the game via 2-of-8 (9 points). When the final whistle blew, Gray accounted for 2 assists.

Michigan has a win-loss record of 22-4 on the campaign. Michigan has totaled 1,998 points so far this year (76.8 per contest) and they collect 37.5 boards per game. The Wolverines are committing 15.0 fouls per contest and they connect on 78.0% from the charity stripe. When it comes to executing on offense, the Wolverines are shooting 48.5% from the field, which is 28th in the nation. Their rate of earning assists is at 15.8 times per game (37th in the country) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.2 times per contest. The Wolverines on defense are ranked 59th in D-1 in PPG given up with 65.9. They are able to force 10.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 39.3% from the floor (14th in D-1). The Michigan defense gives up 32.7% on 3-point shots (166 of 508) and opponents are making 75.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 9.9 assists and 31.1 total rebounds per game, which ranks 15th and 30th in college hoops.

The last time they took the court, the Michigan Wolverines went home victorious with a score of 86-78 when they faced the LSU Tigers. The Wolverines snagged 29 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 34 in this matchup. They gave up possession 11 times, while getting 1 steal for the contest. The Tigers earned 20 personal fouls in the game which got the Wolverines to the charity stripe for a total of 25 tries. They were able to knock down 20 of them for a rate of 80.0%. In regard to 3-pointers, Michigan knocked down 10 of their 25 tries (40.0%). When this game wrapped up, the Wolverines finished shooting 28 out of 52 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 53.8%. The Wolverines permitted the Tigers to convert 27 out of 69 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 39.1% for the game. They shot 28.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 6 of 21 and ended up going 18 out of 23 from the free throw line (78.3%). In relation to cleaning up the glass, Michigan allowed LSU to pull down 25 in all (7 offensive).

Eli Brooks ended up being important for the Wolverines in this game. He buried 7 out of 11 in the game for a rate of 63.6%, and accounted for 4 rebounds. Brooks earned 21 points in his 32 minutes on the hardwood and had 7 dimes for this game. An additional guy that ended being a contributor for Michigan was Franz Wagner. He wrapped the game up with 2 assists in 33 mins on the court, and he knocked down 5 out of 9 from the floor. Wagner ended the game having shot 55.6% from the floor as well as totaling 15 points and 7 boards.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Michigan (-3.5)

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