Florida Gators vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, 2/16/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Tuesday, February 16, 2021

Location: Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, AR

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Florida (+2.5)

The Arkansas Razorbacks (16-5) host the Florida Gators (10-5) at Bud Walton Arena on Tuesday. Arkansas opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 151.

Florida will enter this contest with a win-loss mark of 10-5 this year. They have an average of 77.5 pts per game (60th in D-1) while going 47.4% from the field. The Gators are shooting 37.5% on shots from 3-point land (109 of 291) and 73.8% from the charity stripe. As a team, Florida is collecting 35.9 boards per game and has accounted for 194 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 255th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 13.9 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 19.8 fouls every game. On the defensive end of the court, the Gators are forcing 15.0 turnovers per game and they draw 18.5 fouls. They are relinquishing 33.1% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 205th in D-1 in PPG allowed (71.1). The Gators defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 42.5% (373 of 878) and they relinquish 34.8 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They rank 90th in Division 1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 193 surrendered so far this year.

The Florida Gators faced the South Carolina Gamecocks and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 72-66 in their last game. Florida wrapped up the game having earned a 40.3% field goal percentage (25 out of 62) and buried 7 of their 25 shots from 3-point land. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Gators knocked down 9 of their 15 tries for a percentage of 60.0%. When talking about pulling down boards, they collected 31 with 7 of them being offensive. They also dished out 13 assists in this contest as well as earning 8 steals and 12 blocks. In regard to defense, Florida allowed 40.3% from the floor on 25 of 62 shooting. South Carolina recorded 10 assists and had 10 steals in the game. Moreover, the Gamecocks collected 39 rebounds (10 offensive, 29 defensive) and had 12 rejections. South Carolina finished shooting 60.0% at the charity stripe by converting 6 of their 10 tries. They also made 4 of their 19 attempts from long range.

Tre Mann is a player who was a major factor for the matchup. He walked away with 17 points on 6 of 16 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 36 mins played and snagged 8 rebounds. Mann finished 37.5% from the field and also dished out 3 assists. One more player that was a major factor in the game for the Gators was Noah Locke. He pulled down 3 rebounds and earned 2 assists. He ended up shooting 55.6% from the field for the contest by shooting 5-of-9 (15 points). When the game finished, Locke played for 31 min.

Arkansas has a win-loss mark of 16-5 for the year. On the offensive side of the court, the Razorbacks are hitting on 45.1% from the field, which is 136th in the country. Arkansas has scored 1,739 points on the year (82.8 per contest) and they snag 40.5 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 15.0 times per game (79th in college basketball) and they cough up possession 12.9 times per game. The Razorbacks commit 17.2 personal fouls every game and they go 74.6% from the free throw line. The Razorbacks on defense are ranked 185th in college basketball in PPG allowed with 70.4. They are able to force 15.4 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 41.7% from the floor (99th in the nation). The Arkansas defense surrenders 32.3% on 3-point shots (155 of 480) and opponents are connecting on 68.5% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 12.0 assists and 35.6 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 105th and 205th in the nation.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Arkansas Razorbacks got the victory with a final of 86-81 when they faced the Missouri Tigers. The Razorbacks earned 25 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 31 in this matchup. They also turned away 5 attempts while recording 6 steals for the contest. The Tigers earned 20 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Razorbacks to the free throw line for 23 shots. They were able to make 20 of the free throw tries for a clip of 87.0%. Concerning 3-pointers, Arkansas made 8 out of 21 attempts (38.1%). When this game wrapped up, the Razorbacks finished 29 for 62 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.8%. The Razorbacks allowed the Tigers to convert 27 out of 60 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 45.0% in the game. They shot 40.6% from 3-point land by hitting 13 of 32 and walked away from this one shooting 14 out of 21 at the free throw line (66.7%). With respect to how they attacked the glass, Arkansas permitted Missouri to get 36 in total (9 on the offensive side).

Justin Smith pitched in for the Razorbacks for the contest. He buried 6 of 10 in this matchup for a rate of 60.0%, which had him finishing with 19 points. Smith collected 6 boards in his 37 minutes played and totaled 3 dimes in this matchup. An additional guy that ended being a contributor for Arkansas was Moses Moody. He ended up finishing with 16 points in 34 minutes played by way of 4 out of 7 shooting for this contest. Moody ended the game having shot 57.1% from the floor as well as collecting 2 assists and 5 rebounds.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Florida (+2.5)

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