Dayton Flyers vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies Prediction, 3/1/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Date: Monday, March 1, 2021

Location: Reilly Center in Saint Bonaventure, NY

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Dayton (+8)

Reilly Center is the site where and the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (13-3) will take on the Dayton Flyers (12-8) on Monday. Dayton opens this contest as 8-point underdogs. The over/under opens at 132.

Dayton will play this game with a mark of 12-8 on the campaign. They average 70.4 pts per game (204th in Division 1) while shooting 48.0% from the field. The Flyers are hitting 36.2% on shots from downtown (157 of 434) and 72.7% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Dayton is collecting 33.0 boards per game and has accounted for 278 dimes on the year, which ranks 172nd in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 14.2 times per game and as a unit are committing 15.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on defense, the Flyers are forcing their opponents into 12.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.2 fouls. They are surrendering 31.6% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 111th in college basketball in PPG allowed (68.0). The Flyers defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 42.1% (506 of 1,202) and they relinquish 33.2 boards per contest as a team. They are ranked 140th in college basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 253 relinquished on the season.

The Dayton Flyers took the court against the Saint Joseph's Hawks and ended up losing by a score of 97-84 in their last game. Dayton finished having earned a 52.5% FG percentage (32 of 61) and buried 10 out of their 25 shots from 3-point land. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Flyers made 10 of 13 shots for a percentage of 76.9%. In the matter of hauling in boards, they compiled a total of 30 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 12 assists in this game while forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and having 5 steals. In regard to defense, Dayton allowed the other team to go 48.4% from the floor on 31 out of 64 shooting. Saint Joseph's earned 17 dimes and had 6 steals for the matchup. On top of that, Saint Joseph's totaled 29 rebounds (8 offensive, 21 defensive) and got 2 blocks. Saint Joseph's ended up going 89.5% when shooting free throws by making 17 of their 19 attempts. They also made 18 of 0 attempts from three-point range.

Jalen Crutcher is one player who was a major factor in this contest. He ended up with 17 points on 6 of 17 shooting. He was on the court for 38 mins and also collected 6 boards. Crutcher shot 35.3% from the field and dished out 4 dimes. An additional guy that was a factor in this contest for the Flyers was Ibi Watson. He collected 5 rebounds in 28 min on the court. He finished shooting 50.0% from the floor for this contest by going 6-of-12 (16 points). Overall, Watson accounted for 4 assists.

St. Bonaventure has a win-loss record of 13-3 for the year. St. Bonaventure has tallied 1,138 pts for the season (71.1 per game) and they pull down 37.3 rebounds per contest. The Bonnies commit 15.7 personal fouls per game while shooting 72.8% from the free throw line. As an offense, the Bonnies are shooting 45.7% from the field, which ranks them 96th in D-1. They are dishing out assists 14.9 times per game (78th in the nation) and they cough up possession 11.3 times per contest. The Bonnies on defense are ranked 9th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 60.9. The St. Bonaventure defense gives up 30.2% on 3-pointers (124 of 410) and their opponents are converting on 63.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 12.8 dimes and 33.0 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 169th and 96th in Division 1. They are forcing 12.3 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 38.9% from the floor (8th in D-1).

The last time they took the hardwood, the St. Bonaventure Bonnies got the victory with a final of 88-41 when they faced the George Washington Colonials. The Bonnies corralled 26 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 33 in the matchup. They also turned the ball over 7 times, while getting 10 steals in this matchup. The Colonials earned 6 fouls for this game which got the Bonnies to the charity stripe for 5 tries. They were able to knock down 3 of those for a rate of 60.0%. When it comes to 3-point shots, St. Bonaventure knocked down 15 of their 29 tries (51.7%). Overall, the Bonnies ended up going 35 out of 60 from the floor which had them at 58.3%. The Bonnies permitted the Colonials to bury 15 out of their 46 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 32.6% in the matchup. They went 15.4% from beyond the perimeter by going 2 of 13 and finished the contest at 9 of 15 at the charity stripe (60.0%). In relation to how they rebounded, St. Bonaventure allowed George Washington to collect 21 in all (4 on the offensive glass).

Jaren Holmes was important for the Bonnies for this game. He made 7 out of 13 in the game for a field goal rate of 53.8%, and had 5 rebounds. Holmes accumulated 18 points in his 36 minutes on the court and added 3 assists in this game. Another guy who was a determining factor for St. Bonaventure was Dominick Welch. He finished this one with 4 dimes in 31 mins on the hardwood, and he converted 5 of 8 from the floor. Welch ended up shooting 62.5% from the floor while also contributing 14 points and 7 total rebounds.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Bonaventure (-8)

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