Dayton Flyers vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 12/8/2021 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Wednesday, December 8, 2021

Location: Moody Coliseum in University Park, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Dayton Flyers (6-3) are traveling to Moody Coliseum on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the SMU Mustangs (7-3).

The Dayton Flyers faced off with Northern Illinois and went home with a win by a final score of 79-41 in their last game. In regard to fouls, the Flyers finished with 16 and Northern Illinois finished the game with 13 fouls. They made 3 out of their 16 shots from distance. Northern Illinois shot 50.0% from the free throw line by making 6 of 12 tries. Moreover, Northern Illinois totaled 19 boards (6 offensive, 13 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Northern Illinois dished out 7 assists and had 9 steals in this matchup. In reference to defending, Dayton allowed the other team to shoot 29.1% from the field on 16 of 55 shooting. They also dished out 18 assists in the game while forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and having 5 steals. In terms of rebounding, they compiled 38 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Flyers made 9 of their 10 attempts for a rate of 90.0%. Dayton wrapped up the contest having earned a 55.4% FG percentage (31 of 56) and made 8 out of their 24 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Malachi Smith is a guy who came through for the game. He scored 11 points on 4 of 5 shooting. He was on the court for 23 minutes played and grabbed 5 rebounds. He finished the contest at 80.0% from the floor and also dished out 4 assists.

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Dayton enters this matchup with a win-loss mark of 6-3 on the campaign. They average 71.9 pts per game (197th in D-1) while shooting 48.8% from the floor. The Flyers are hitting 33.1% on three-point attempts (59 of 178) and 71.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, Dayton is snagging 35.1 boards per game and has racked up 120 assists so far this year, which ranks 131st in college basketball in terms of passing the ball. They are losing possession via turnover 14.0 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 14.1 fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end of the court, the Flyers are forcing 11.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 16.8 fouls. They currently rank 217th in Division 1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 109 surrendered so far this season. The Flyers defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 41.7% (210 of 504) and they surrender 27.7 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are giving up 32.1% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 75th in college basketball in opponents PPG (63.0).

In their last game, the SMU Mustangs went home victorious with a score of 84-72 when they played Vanderbilt. The Mustangs earned 21 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 31 for this contest. They also turned it over 6 times, while recording 11 steals in this game. Vanderbilt was called for 17 fouls for this game which took the Mustangs to the charity stripe for a total of 21 shots. They were able to knock down 15 of them for a percentage of 71.4%. In reference to shots from downtown, SMU made 9 of their 30 tries (30.0%). When all was said and done, the Mustangs walked away from this one shooting 30 out of 63 from the floor which had them shooting 47.6%. The Mustangs permitted Vanderbilt to make 23 of their 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.1% for the matchup. They went 35.5% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 11 of 31 and ended up shooting 15 out of 19 from the free throw line (78.9%). Concerning attacking the glass, SMU permitted Vanderbilt to grab 36 overall (15 offensive).

Kendric Davis ended up being a major contributor for the Mustangs in the matchup. He recorded 21 points in his 33 minutes on the court and accumulated 5 assists in this matchup. He buried 6 out of 10 in this game for a field goal rate of 60.0%, and added 3 rebounds.

SMU has a record of 7-3 on the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mustangs are shooting 46.0% from the field, which has them ranked 105th in the nation. SMU has earned 783 points on the year (78.3 per game) and they grab 39.2 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 15.0 times per contest (83rd in college basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.8 times per contest. The Mustangs are responsible for committing 15.1 fouls per contest while shooting 74.0% from the charity stripe.

The Mustangs on the defensive side of the court are 176th in the nation in points allowed per game with 68.2. They are forcing 13.0 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 38.9% from the field (53rd in college hoops). The SMU defense gives up 30.6% on 3-point attempts (75 of 245) and their opposition knocks down 70.9% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 13.0 dimes and 36.7 total boards per game, ranking them 220th and 263rd in college basketball.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dayton

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