Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 2/25/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs
Date: Thursday, February 25, 2021
Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA
TV: FS1
Odds/Point Spread: Boise State (+6)
The Boise State Broncos (18-4) head to Viejas Arena on Thursday where they'll take on the San Diego State Aztecs (17-4). The spread on this game has San Diego State as 6-point favorites. The O/U opens at 137.5.
Boise State will enter this contest with a win-loss mark of 18-4 so far this year. They turn it over 11.1 times per game and as a team they are committing 16.7 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Boise State is grabbing 36.1 rebounds per contest and has tallied 306 dimes this year, which is 77th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Broncos are connecting on 35.1% on shots from downtown (168 of 479) and 73.8% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 77.8 pts per game (55th in the nation) while going 46.5% from the floor. When they are on defense, the Broncos have forced 14.8 turnovers every game and they draw 19.4 personal fouls. They give up 31.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 49th in college basketball in points per game allowed (65.0). The Broncos defensively are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 42.4% (525 of 1,237) and they concede 31.8 rebounds per contest as a group. They are 159th in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 241 surrendered on the campaign.
The Boise State Broncos faced the Utah State Aggies and notched a win by a score of 81-77 in their last contest. Boise State finished the contest having earned a 53.7% FG percentage (29 out of 54) and made 7 of 17 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Broncos knocked down 16 of 20 tries for a rate of 80.0%. Pertaining to getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 24 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 15 assists for this contest as well as earning 6 steals and 6 blocks. With regard to the defense, Boise State allowed the other team to shoot 53.7% from the floor on 29 of 54 shooting. Utah State totaled 14 assists and had 6 steals for the matchup. On top of that, the Aggies grabbed 31 boards (14 offensive, 17 defensive) and had 6 rejections. Utah State shot 63.6% when shooting free throws by knocking down 7 of their 11 tries. They also knocked down 4 of their 14 tries from long range.
Derrick Alston is one player who came through in this matchup. He recorded 23 points on 8 of 17 shooting. He played for 32 mins played and also snagged 1 rebound. Alston ended up going 47.1% from the field and recorded 2 assists. One more player that was a factor in this matchup for the Broncos was Abu Kigab. He snagged 3 rebounds in his 24 minutes on the basketball court. He finished the contest at 75.0% from the field for this game by going 6-of-8 (19 points). When the final whistle blew, Kigab collected 1 assist.
San Diego State has a win-loss record of 17-4 so far this year. The Aztecs commit 18.4 fouls per contest and they hit 70.6% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 14.6 times per game (94th in college basketball) and they are giving up possession 11.5 times per game. San Diego State has accounted for 1,575 pts this year (75.0 per contest) and they grab 36.3 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Aztecs are hitting on 46.1% from the field, which is 81st in the country. The Aztecs defensively are ranked 6th in college hoops in points given up per game with 59.8. They are forcing their opponents into 15.5 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 39.0% from the floor (8th in college basketball). The San Diego State defense gives up 33.1% on three-point shots (164 of 495) and opponents are knocking down 71.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 12.7 dimes and 31.3 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 159th and 37th in college hoops.
When they last stepped on the court, the San Diego State Aztecs walked away with a victory by a final of 75-57 against the Fresno State Bulldogs. The Aztecs corralled 20 defensive boards and 2 offensive boards for a total of 22 in the matchup. They turned away 3 attempts while getting 9 steals for the contest. The Bulldogs had 19 fouls in the game which took the Aztecs to the charity stripe for a total of 24 shots. They were able to knock down 17 of those for a percentage of 70.8%. In the matter of shooting from distance, San Diego State made 8 of their 12 attempts (66.7%). When the game finished, the Aztecs shot 25 for 41 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 61.0%. The Aztecs allowed the Bulldogs to knock down 22 out of 51 attempts from the floor which left them shooting 43.1% for this contest. They finished shooting 25.0% from downtown by going 5 out of 20 and ended up going 8 out of 16 from the charity stripe (50.0%). When discussing how they cleaned up the glass, San Diego State permitted Fresno State to get 23 in all (11 on the offensive side).
Jordan Schakel ended up having an impact for the Aztecs in this contest. He converted 5 of 5 in this matchup giving him a rate of 100.0%, and totaled 8 rebounds. Schakel accumulated 14 points in his 25 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist for this contest. One more player who was a determining factor for San Diego State was Matt Mitchell. He wrapped the game up with no assists in his 35 minutes played, and he shot 5 of 9 from the floor. Mitchell walked away from this one going 55.6% from the floor while also notching 13 points and 5 boards.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boise State (+6) and under 137.5 points
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Additional Resources:
San Diego State Aztecs - Twitter
Boise State Broncos - Twitter