Arkansas Razorbacks vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 3/29/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Baylor Bears
Date: Monday, March 29, 2021
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN
TV: CBS
Odds/Point Spread: Arkansas (+7)
The Arkansas Razorbacks (25-6) head to Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday where they'll meet the Baylor Bears (25-2) in the Elite 8. Baylor opens this game as 7-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 149.5.
Arkansas heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 25-6 this season. They are averaging 81.7 pts per contest (11th in Division 1) while shooting 45.0% from the field. The Razorbacks are connecting on 33.3% on shots beyond the perimeter (230 of 691) and 74.0% from the free throw line. As a team, Arkansas is pulling down 39.9 boards per contest and has tallied 453 dimes for the season, which is 15th in D-1 in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 12.8 times per game and as a squad are committing 16.8 fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on the defensive end, the Razorbacks have forced 15.3 turnovers every game while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. They give up 33.2% on 3-pointers and they rank 188th in college hoops in PPG from their opponents (70.4). The Razorbacks defense is allowing a FG percentage of 41.3% (783 of 1,896) and they relinquish 36.0 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 300th in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 376 conceded for the campaign.
The Arkansas Razorbacks faced off with the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles and went home with a win by a final score of 72-70 in their last contest. Arkansas finished having earned a 37.7% FG percentage (29 out of 77) and made 1 of 9 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Razorbacks buried 13 of their 15 shots for a rate of 86.7%. With regard to rebounding, they collected 44 with 16 of them being offensive. They also distributed 13 assists for the matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In the matter of defending, Arkansas allowed their opponent to shoot 42.6% from the field on 26 out of 61 shooting. Oral Roberts dished out 16 dimes and had 3 steals in this game. On top of that, Oral Roberts grabbed 32 rebounds (5 offensive, 27 defensive) and got 4 rejections. Oral Roberts finished shooting 76.9% from the charity stripe by making 10 of 13 shots. They also buried 8 of 31 shots from 3-point land.
Jalen Tate is someone who played a role in the matchup. He walked away with 22 points on 9 out of 17 shooting. He was on the court for 38 minutes played and pulled down 4 rebounds. Tate ended up shooting 52.9% from the floor and also totaled 6 assists. Someone else that played a role in this contest for the Razorbacks was Davonte Davis. He totaled 8 rebounds in his 34 minutes on the hardwood. He shot 53.8% from the field in this matchup by connecting on 7-of-13 (16 points). In all, Davis earned 2 assists.
Baylor has a mark of 25-2 for the season. Baylor has 2,242 pts on the year (83.0 per game) and they pull in 36.3 rebounds per contest. The Bears are committing 16.9 personal fouls every game and they hit 69.9% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Bears are connecting on 48.6% from the floor, which ranks 27th in the nation. They are dishing out assists 16.6 times per contest (16th in the country) and they cough up possession 11.8 times per contest. The Bears are ranked 50th in college hoops in PPG given up with 65.3. They are able to force 17.4 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.1% from the field (169th in the nation). The Baylor defense gives up 33.1% from downtown (171 of 516) and opponents are converting on 69.2% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 12.2 dimes and 32.1 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 114th and 54th in college hoops.
In their last game, the Baylor Bears got the victory with a final of 62-51 against the Villanova Wildcats. The Bears pulled down 16 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 27 in the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 5 times, while recording 8 steals in the matchup. The Wildcats had 14 fouls for the matchup which took the Bears to the charity stripe for a total of 10 tries. They were able to convert 7 of them for a rate of 70.0%. Pertaining to 3-point attempts, Baylor made 3 out of their 19 tries (15.8%). When all was said and done, the Bears finished the game shooting 26 for 59 from the floor which had them sitting at 44.1%. The Bears permitted the Wildcats to knock down 20 of their 46 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.5% in this matchup. They went 17.6% from 3-point land via 3 out of 17 and ended up going 8 out of 11 at the free throw line (72.7%). With respect to cleaning the glass, Baylor allowed Villanova to grab 30 in total (9 offensive).
Davion Mitchell was important for the Bears in the game. He made 7 out of 13 in this game for a field goal rate of 53.8%, and had 1 rebound. Mitchell totaled 14 points in his 36 minutes of playing time and earned 2 dimes in the game. Another guy that was pivotal for Baylor was Jared Butler. He came away with 3 dimes in 36 mins on the court, and he put in 4 of 14 from the floor. Butler ended the game having shot 28.6% from the floor as well as notching 9 points and 2 rebounds.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baylor (-7) and over 149.5 points
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Additional Resources:
Baylor Bears - Twitter
Arkansas Razorbacks - Twitter