Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels Prediction, 3/10/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Date: Wednesday, March 10, 2021

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Air Force (+11.5)

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels (11-14) play the Air Force Falcons (5-19) at Thomas & Mack Center on Wednesday. The spread on this contest has UNLV as 11.5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 130.5.

Air Force will play this game with a mark of 5-19 on the campaign. They are giving up possession 14.5 times per contest and as a group they are committing 16.8 personal fouls every game. As a team, Air Force is pulling down 23.5 rebounds per game and has accumulated 294 assists on the campaign, which ranks 186th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Falcons are hitting 33.8% from downtown (172 of 509) and 69.5% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 59.0 points per contest (343rd in the nation) while going 44.7% from the floor. On the defensive end, the Falcons are able to force 13.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.9 personal fouls. They are giving up 36.1% from 3-point land and they are ranked 217th in college basketball in opponents PPG (71.6). The Falcons defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 49.6% (623 of 1,255) and they concede 34.5 boards per game as a unit. They currently rank 292nd in the country in giving up assists with 348 surrendered on the campaign.

The Air Force Falcons faced the Colorado State Rams and ended up losing by a score of 74-44 in their last game. Air Force wrapped up the game having earned a 33.3% FG percentage (15 out of 45) and converted 5 of their 20 shots from distance. When they shot from the free throw line, the Falcons made 9 of their 13 tries for a percentage of 69.2%. When discussing rebounding, they earned 24 with 5 of them being offensive. They also recorded 7 dimes for the contest while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Concerning the defense, Air Force allowed the other team to shoot 41.8% from the field on 23 of 55 shooting. Colorado State distributed 14 dimes and had 4 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Colorado State had 41 boards (15 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 3 rejections. Colorado State shot 82.1% from the free throw line by knocking down 23 of 28 tries. They also made 5 of their 28 attempts from three-point range.

Chris Joyce is one guy who played a role for the game. He scored 10 points on 3 out of 6 shooting. He was on the court for 24 minutes and collected 2 rebounds. Joyce walked away from this one shooting 50.0% from the floor but didn't record an assist. Another guy that was a major factor in the matchup for the Falcons was A.J. Walker. He totaled 2 rebounds in his 34 min played. He finished the game shooting 25.0% from the field for this contest by hitting 3-of-12 (7 points). Overall, Walker wasn't able to get an assist.

UNLV has a record of 11-14 so far this year. The Runnin' Rebels have committed 18.4 fouls per game and they connect on 70.5% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 13.1 times per game (181st in college basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.4 times per game. UNLV has accounted for 1,742 points so far this year (69.7 per game) and they collect 36.1 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Runnin' Rebels are connecting on 44.5% from the field, which ranks 160th in Division 1. The Runnin' Rebels defensively are ranked 105th in the country in PPG surrendered with 67.8. They allow 13.5 dimes and 32.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 224th and 71st in college hoops. The UNLV defense surrenders 37.3% on shots from beyond the arc (224 of 601) and their opponents are knocking down 72.9% of their free throw attempts. They have forced 12.0 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 41.9% from the floor (102nd in D-1).

The last time they took the court, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels took a loss by a final score of 80-69 when they played the Wyoming Cowboys. The Runnin' Rebels corralled 19 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards for a total of 23 for the contest. They also turned it over 16 times, while earning 6 steals in the game. The Cowboys had 15 fouls for the game which got the Runnin' Rebels to the free throw line for a total of 15 attempts. They were able to knock down 12 of the free throws for a percentage of 80.0%. In terms of shooting from downtown, UNLV made 3 of their 13 tries (23.1%). When all was said and done, the Runnin' Rebels ended up going 27 for 50 from the field which had them shooting 54.0%. The Runnin' Rebels allowed the Cowboys to convert 27 out of their 49 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.1% in the matchup. They shot 50.0% from distance via 10 of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 16 out of 27 from the free throw line (59.3%). In the matter of how they attacked the glass, UNLV permitted Wyoming to pull down 25 overall (6 offensive).

Bryce Hamilton ended up being a factor for the Runnin' Rebels for the contest. He made 7 out of 12 in this game giving him a field goal percentage of 58.3%, and earned 4 rebounds. Hamilton had 17 points in his 32 mins on the court, but didn't record an assist. One more player that played a role for UNLV was David Jenkins. He ended up finishing with no assists in 35 mins on the hardwood, and he shot 3 of 10 from the floor. Jenkins ended the game having shot 30.0% from the field while also notching 10 points and 1 rebound.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Air Force (+11.5)

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