Air Force Falcons vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 1/8/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Air Force Falcons vs Boise State Broncos
Date: Friday, January 8, 2021
Location: ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID
TV: ESPN+
Odds/Point Spread: Air Force (+18.5)
The Boise State Broncos (9-1) host the Air Force Falcons (3-6) at ExtraMile Arena on Friday. The odds on this game have Boise State as 18.5-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 131.5.
Air Force will take the court with a win-loss mark of 3-6 for the campaign. They are losing possession via turnover 16.6 times per game and as a group they commit 15.6 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Air Force is grabbing 24.8 boards per game and has accounted for 104 dimes this year, which ranks 216th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Falcons are hitting 32.8% on three-point attempts (57 of 174) and 72.3% from the free throw line. They have an average of 56.4 pts per game (339th in the country) while connecting on 43.7% from the field. On the defensive end of the court, the Falcons are able to force 13.6 turnovers per game while drawing 17.6 personal fouls. They are giving up 33.3% on 3-point shots while they are 166th in D-1 in opponents points per game (69.1). The Falcons defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.3% (228 of 492) and they concede 34.3 boards per game as a unit. They are 259th in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 131 conceded on the season.
The Air Force Falcons took the court against the Broncos and took a loss by a score of 78-59 in their last game. Air Force wrapped up the contest having earned a 46.9% FG percentage (23 of 49) and made 5 of their 21 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Falcons knocked down 8 of their 12 attempts for a rate of 66.7%. With regard to rebounding, they compiled 19 with 2 of them being offensive. They also distributed 10 dimes in this contest as well as earning 6 steals and 2 rejections. Pertaining to defending, Air Force allowed the other team to go 46.9% from the field on 23 of 49 shooting. Boise State doled out 18 assists and had 8 steals in this contest. Moreover, the Broncos grabbed 31 boards (6 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Boise State ended up shooting 88.9% at the free throw line by knocking down 16 of their 18 attempts. They converted 10 of their 22 shots from beyond the arc.
A.J. Walker is a guy who was a major factor in the matchup. He ended up finishing with 16 points on 7 of 12 shooting. He played 38 minutes played and also pulled down 3 rebounds. Walker finished the contest at 58.3% from the floor and also recorded 4 dimes. Another guy that came through in the matchup for the Falcons was Keaton Van Soelen. He pulled down 6 rebounds and tallied 3 assists. He shot 62.5% from the floor in this contest by going 5-of-8 (15 points). At the conclusion of this game, Soelen played 36 minutes.
Boise State has a win-loss record of 9-1 for the campaign. The Broncos commit 18.4 fouls per game and they connect on 74.3% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 15.6 times per game (72nd in D-1) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.5 times per game. Boise State has scored 811 pts so far this season (81.1 per contest) and they grab 39.4 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Broncos are hitting on 46.8% from the field, which is ranked 98th in Division 1. The Broncos are ranked 23rd in the country in PPG given up with 60.5. They have conceded 8.5 assists and 31.3 boards on a nightly basis, which is 5th and 51st in college hoops. The Boise State defense gives up 27.6% on shots from beyond the arc (54 of 196) and opponents are converting on 71.3% of their foul shots. They are able to force 16.6 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 38.3% from the floor (24th in the nation).
In the win against Air Force, the Broncos snagged 25 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 31 in the matchup. They also blocked 2 shots while earning 8 steals in the matchup. The Falcons had 15 fouls in this game which got the Broncos to the free throw line for 18 attempts. They were able to knock down 16 of the free throw tries for a clip of 88.9%. With respect to three-point shots, Boise State made 10 out of their 22 tries (45.5%). When all was said and done, the Broncos walked away from this one shooting 26 for 54 from the field which gave them a rate of 48.1%. The Broncos allowed the Falcons to make 23 out of their 49 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 46.9% in this game. They went 23.8% from 3-point land by connecting on 5 out of 21 and walked away from this one shooting 8 of 12 from the charity stripe (66.7%). Regarding how they cleaned up the glass, Boise State permitted Air Force to snag 19 in all (2 on the offensive side).
Derrick Alston ended up being a factor for the Broncos in this contest. He made 4 out of 12 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 33.3%, which got him 16 points. Alston totaled 7 boards in his 30 minutes and had 3 dimes for this game. One more player that played a role for Boise State was Marcus Shaver. He ended up scoring 15 points in 26 minutes played by going 5 of 9 shooting in the game. Shaver wrapped this one up going 55.6% from the floor in addition to contributing 3 dimes and 3 total rebounds.
Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Air Force (+18.5)
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Additional Resources:
Boise State Broncos - Twitter
Air Force Falcons - Twitter