Xavier vs Providence Predictions, College Basketball Picks 3/4/2020

Game: Xavier Musketeers vs Providence Friars

Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Location: Dunkin' Donuts Center in Providence, RI

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Providence -4

Total/Over-Under: 132

The Xavier Musketeers travel to Dunkin' Donuts Center to play the Providence Friars on Wednesday, March 4, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has Providence as 4 point favorites.

Xavier comes into this game with an overall record of 19-10. They currently have a point differential of 3.8 as they are averaging 70.7 points per game while giving up 66.9 per contest. Providence has an overall mark of 17-12. They are averaging 70.4 points per contest and giving up 66.3, which is a point differential of 4.1.

Valuable Xavier Musketeers Betting Trends

The Xavier Musketeers are 11-16-2 against the spread

The Xavier Musketeers are 11-17-1 against the over/under

Important Providence Friars Betting Trends

The Providence Friars are 14-14-1 against the spread

The Providence Friars are 12-15-2 against the over/under

Key Xavier Musketeers Injuries

03/02/20 G Myles Hanson Shoulder is out indefinitely
02/07/20 F Dieonte Miles Knee is out indefinitely
01/09/20 G Dahmir Bishop Left Team is out for season

Key Providence Friars Injuries

03/02/20 G Alpha Diallo Eye is questionable

Player Spotlight

Tyrique Jones averages 13.9 points per game in 27.8 minutes per contest. He averages 1.4 assists per contest and 11.2 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 55% for the year while his free throw percentage is 60%. Naji Marshall comes into this contest averaging 16.5 points per game while playing 35.3 minutes per night. He pulls down 6.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is at 69%.

Player Spotlight

David Duke averages 11.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 32.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.3 rebounds per contest and 3.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 80%. Alpha Diallo averages 13.6 points per game while playing 32.6 minutes per contest. He grabs 7.9 rebounds per game and has 2.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is at 62%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Musketeers allow 66.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 109th in Division 1. They also allow a 40% shooting percentage and a 29% average from behind the arc, ranking them 39th and 21st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 35.4 rebounds a game which ranks 207th, and they give up 12.1 assists per contest which puts them in 143rd place in the NCAA. They force 13.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 163rd in the nation. Xavier averages 70.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 198th in the country. Their average scoring margin is 3.8 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 203rd. Behind the arc they shoot 32% which is good for 269th in D-1. They average 39.4 rebounds per game and 14.6 assists per contest, which ranks them 25th and 60th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 87th with 14.1 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Friars surrender 66.3 points per contest, which ranks them 90th in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 42% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 106th and 78th in those defensive statistics. They rank 107th with 11.8 assists allowed per contest, and 222nd with 35.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Friars are 291st in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 14.9 per game. Providence is 203rd in the country with 70.4 points per game this year. They are 324th in the D-1 in shooting at 41%, while their average scoring margin is 4.1. They shoot 33% from 3-point range, which is good for 214th in the nation. They are 62nd in the country in rebounding with 38.1 boards per game and 63rd in assists per contest with 14.6. The Friars are 138th in turnovers per game with 13.6.

Advanced Statistics

The Musketeers are 214th in the nation in offensive rating with 99.7. In terms of pace they are 169th in the country with 69.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 237th. As a team they are 265th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 240th in Division 1. Xavier is 128th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Providence is 197th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.2 times per 100 possessions. The Friars are 193rd in the country in offensive rating with 100.8. In terms of pace they are 161st in Division 1 with 69.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 47% is 315th. As a team they are 306th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 50% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 205th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Xavier/Providence college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Providence -4

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