Virginia vs Miami Predictions, Expert College Basketball Picks 3/4/2020

Game: Virginia Cavaliers vs Miami Hurricanes

Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Location: Watsco Center in Coral Gables, FL

TV: ACCN

Odds/Point Spread: Miami +1.5

Total/Over-Under: 118

The Virginia Cavaliers head to Watsco Center to take on the Miami Hurricanes on Wednesday, March 4, 2020. The opening line for this game has Virginia as 1.5 point favorites.

Virginia comes into this game with an overall record of 21-7. They currently have a point differential of 4.8 as they are averaging 57.4 points per game while giving up 52.6 per contest. Miami has an overall mark of 14-14. They are averaging 72.5 points per contest and giving up 74.6, which is a point differential of -2.1.

Valuable Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Virginia Cavaliers are 11-15-2 against the spread this season

The Virginia Cavaliers are 13-15-0 against the over/under this year

Important Miami Hurricanes Betting Trends

The Miami Hurricanes are 14-14-0 against the spread this season

The Miami Hurricanes are 17-11-0 against the over/under this year

Key Virginia Cavaliers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Miami Hurricanes Injuries

12/05/19 F Deng Gak Knee is out for season

Player Spotlight

Mamadi Diakite comes into this game averaging 13.6 points per contest while playing 32.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 6.6 rebounds per contest and distributes 0.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is 76%. Kihei Clark averages 10.7 points per contest in 37.4 minutes per game. He averages 6.0 assists per game and 4.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 38% for the season while his free throw percentage is 86%.

Player Spotlight

Chris Lykes scores 15.2 points per contest while playing 30.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 2.1 rebounds per contest and has 2.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 81%. Dejan Vasiljevic averages 13.2 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 33.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.2 rebounds per game and has 1.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 88%.

Useful Team Statistics

Virginia averages 57.4 points per contest, which is 347th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 4.8 and their shooting percentage is 42% as a unit, which has them ranked 291st. From 3-point territory they shoot 30%, which is good for 308th in the nation. They average 34.3 boards per contest and 11.6 assists per game, which ranks them 230th and 290th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 251st with 12.4 per game. The Cavaliers allow 52.6 points per contest, which is 1st in the NCAA. They also surrender a 37% shooting percentage and a 29% average from 3-point range, ranking them 2nd and 17th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 30.5 rebounds a game which ranks 16th, and they allow 9.0 assists per game which puts them in 4th place in the country. They force 11.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 53rd in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 130th in the nation with 72.5 points per contest this season. They are 184th in the country in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is -2.1. They shoot 32% from beyond the arc, which is good for 240th in the NCAA. They are 228th in D-1 in rebounding with 34.4 boards per contest and 343rd in assists per game with 10.0. The Hurricanes are 263rd in turnovers per contest with 12.1. The Hurricanes give up 74.6 points per game, which ranks them 298th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 264th and 269th in those defensive statistics. They rank 333rd with 15.7 dimes allowed per game and 331st with 38.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Hurricanes are 115th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 12.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Cavaliers are 325th in the nation in offensive rating with 94. In terms of pace they are 350th in the country with 60.3 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 47% is 298th. As a team they are 308th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 50% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 177th in Division 1. Virginia is 74th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.8 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 278th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions. The Hurricanes have an offensive rating of 101.9, which is ranked 166th. They are 151st in D-1 in pace with 69.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 206th. As a unit they are 186th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 230th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Virginia/Miami college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Virginia -1.5

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