Southern Illinois vs Missouri State Predictions, College Basketball Picks Tonight 2/29/2020

Game: Southern Illinois Salukis vs Missouri State Bears
Date: Saturday, February 29, 2020
Location: JQH Arena in Springfield, MO
TV: CBSS, ESPN2
Odds/Point Spread: Missouri State -6.5
Total/Over-Under: 129
The Southern Illinois Salukis travel to JQH Arena to play the Missouri State Bears on Saturday, February 29, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has Missouri State as 6.5 point favorites.
Southern Illinois heads into this matchup with a mark of 16-14. They currently have a point differential of 1.4 as they are averaging 62.8 points per contest while giving up 61.4 per game. Missouri State has an overall mark of 14-16. They are averaging 69.5 points per contest and giving up 68.0, which is a point differential of 1.6.
Valuable Southern Illinois Salukis Betting Trends
The Southern Illinois Salukis are 14-14-1 against the spread
The Southern Illinois Salukis are 11-18-0 against the over/under
Important Missouri State Bears Betting Trends
The Missouri State Bears are 18-12-0 against the spread
The Missouri State Bears are 17-13-0 against the over/under
Key Southern Illinois Salukis Injuries
No key injuries to report
Key Missouri State Bears Injuries
12/21/19 F Jared Ridder Shoulder is out for season
11/14/19 F Tyem Freeman Knee is out indefinitely
01/30/20 G Tyrik Dixon Shoulder is out for season
Player Spotlight
Eric McGill comes into this contest averaging 11.4 points per game while playing 33.1 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 71%. Marcus Domask averages 14.1 points per game in 35.2 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.5 assists per contest and 5.4 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 49% for the year while his free throw percentage is 82%.
Player Spotlight
Keandre Cook averages 14.7 points per game while playing 32.3 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.7 rebounds per game and has 1.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Gaige Prim averages 13.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 21.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.0 rebounds per contest and 1.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 78%.
Useful Team Statistics
Southern Illinois averages 62.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 333rd in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 1.4 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 217th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 154th in the nation. They average 30.2 rebounds per game and 11.8 assists per game, which ranks them 345th and 277th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 266th with 12.1 per game. The Salukis allow 61.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 10th in the country. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc, ranking them 171st and 65th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 34.9 rebounds a game which ranks 177th and they give up 12.4 assists per contest, which puts them in 163rd place in Division 1. They force 13.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 170th in D-1.
Useful Team Statistics
Missouri State is 222nd in the country with 69.5 points per game this year. They are 208th in Division 1 in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is 1.6. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 115th in the nation. They are 108th in the NCAA in rebounding with 36.9 boards per game, and 283rd in assists per contest with 11.7. The Bears are 164th in turnovers per game with 13.3. The Bears surrender 68.0 points per contest, which ranks them 135th in D-1. Their defense allows a 43% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 204th and 264th in those defensive statistics. They rank 71st with 11.2 assists allowed per contest and 27th with 31.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bears are 90th in country in forcing turnovers with 12.2 per game.
Advanced Statistics
The Salukis have an offensive rating of 97.8, which is ranked 263rd. They are 346th in college basketball in pace with 64 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 171st. As a unit they are 155th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 87th in D-1. Southern Illinois is 115th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.2 times per 100 possessions.
Advanced Statistics
Missouri State is 168th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.7 times per 100 possessions. The Bears are 176th in the country in offensive rating with 101.5. In terms of pace they are 241st in Division 1 with 68.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 228th. As a team they are 212th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 263rd in the nation.
Who will win tonight's Southern Illinois/Missouri State college basketball game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Missouri State -6.5
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Additional Resources:
Missouri State Bears - Twitter
Southern Illinois Salukis - Twitter