South Florida vs UCF Predictions, Expert College Basketball Picks 3/12/2020

Game: South Florida Bulls vs UCF Knights

Date: Thursday, March 12, 2020

Location: Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, TX

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: UCF +1

Total/Over-Under: 127

The South Florida Bulls head to Dickies Arena to take on the UCF Knights on Thursday, March 12, 2020. The opening line for this game has South Florida as 1 point favorites.

South Florida comes into this game with an overall record of 14-17. They currently have a point differential of 0.0 as they are averaging 62.7 points per game while giving up 62.7 per contest. UCF has an overall record of 16-14. They are averaging 68.9 points per game and surrendering 67.9, good for a point differential of 1.0.

Valuable South Florida Bulls Betting Trends

The South Florida Bulls are 17-13-1 against the spread this season

The South Florida Bulls are 10-21-0 against the over/under this year

Important UCF Knights Betting Trends

The UCF Knights are 15-15-0 against the spread this season

The UCF Knights are 12-17-1 against the over/under this year

Key South Florida Bulls Injuries

11/05/19 F Alexis Yetna Knee is out for season
11/05/19 F Mayan Kiir Left Team is out for season

Key UCF Knights Injuries

12/06/19 F Yuat Alok Academics is out indefinitely
02/19/20 G Dre Fuller Jr. Groin is out for season

Player Spotlight

David Collins comes into this game averaging 13.7 points per contest while playing 32.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.0 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is 65%. Laquincy Rideau averages 12.6 points per contest in 32.5 minutes per game. He averages 4.2 assists per game and 4.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 37% for the season while his free throw percentage is 56%.

Player Spotlight

Collin Smith scores 12.6 points per contest while playing 26.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 6.3 rebounds per contest and has 1.9 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 68%. Darin Green Jr. averages 10.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 23.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 1.9 rebounds per game and has 0.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

South Florida averages 62.7 points per contest, which is 336th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 0.0 and their shooting percentage is 41% as a unit, which has them ranked 324th. From 3-point territory they shoot 31%, which is good for 298th in the nation. They average 33.9 boards per contest and 10.2 assists per game, which ranks them 255th and 339th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 46th with 14.6 per game. The Bulls allow 62.7 points per contest, which is 20th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 256th and 203rd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 31.3 rebounds a game which ranks 28th, and they allow 11.3 assists per game which puts them in 70th place in the country. They force 15.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 307th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

UCF is 245th in the nation with 68.9 points per contest this season. They are 215th in the country in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is 1.0. They shoot 32% from beyond the arc, which is good for 231st in the NCAA. They are 210th in D-1 in rebounding with 34.6 boards per contest and 144th in assists per game with 13.5. The Knights are 114th in turnovers per contest with 13.8. The Knights give up 67.9 points per game, which ranks them 135th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 42% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 124th and 98th in those defensive statistics. They rank 280th with 14.1 dimes allowed per game and 218th with 35.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Knights are 263rd in the nation in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bulls are 315th in the nation in offensive rating with 95. In terms of pace they are 329th in the country with 65.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 47% is 317th. As a team they are 323rd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 50% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 151st in Division 1. South Florida is 28th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 18.9 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

UCF is 101st in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.4 times per 100 possessions. The Knights have an offensive rating of 99.5, which is ranked 226th. They are 217th in D-1 in pace with 68.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 206th. As a unit they are 209th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 147th in the country.

Who will win tonight's South Florida/UCF college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take South Florida -1

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