SMU vs UCF Predictions, College Basketball Picks, Odds 3/4/2020

Game: SMU Mustangs vs UCF Knights

Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Location: Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL

TV: ESPN3

Odds/Point Spread: UCF +1

Total/Over-Under: 140

The SMU Mustangs travel to Addition Financial Arena to play the UCF Knights on Wednesday, March 4, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has SMU as 1 point favorites.

SMU heads into this matchup with a mark of 19-9. They currently have a point differential of 4.9 as they are averaging 73.9 points per contest while giving up 69.0 per game. UCF has an overall record of 14-14. They are averaging 68.3 points per game and surrendering 68.5, good for a point differential of -0.2.

Valuable SMU Mustangs Betting Trends

The SMU Mustangs are 14-13-1 against the spread

The SMU Mustangs are 18-10-0 against the over/under

Important UCF Knights Betting Trends

The UCF Knights are 13-15-0 against the spread

The UCF Knights are 11-16-1 against the over/under

Key SMU Mustangs Injuries

11/14/19 F Jahmar Young Jr. Redshirt is out for season
03/01/20 F Isiah Jasey Concussion is questionable Wednesday vs Central Florida
03/01/20 F Everett Ray Knee is out indefinitely

Key UCF Knights Injuries

12/06/19 F Yuat Alok Academics is out indefinitely
02/19/20 G Dre Fuller Jr. Groin is out for season

Player Spotlight

Kendric Davis comes into this contest averaging 14.8 points per game while playing 34.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 85%. Tyson Jolly averages 14.5 points per game in 34.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.4 assists per contest and 6.2 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 79%.

Player Spotlight

Collin Smith averages 12.4 points per game while playing 26.3 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6.2 rebounds per game and has 1.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 66%. Ceasar DeJesus averages 9.8 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 26.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 1.5 rebounds per contest and 2.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 76%.

Useful Team Statistics

SMU averages 73.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 103rd in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 4.9 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 95th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 205th in the nation. They average 36.6 rebounds per game and 15.8 assists per game, which ranks them 113th and 18th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 169th with 13.2 per game. The Mustangs allow 69.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 168th in the country. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 135th and 290th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.3 rebounds a game which ranks 57th and they give up 14.6 assists per contest, which puts them in 301st place in Division 1. They force 12.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 130th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

UCF is 262nd in the country with 68.3 points per game this year. They are 225th in Division 1 in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -0.2. They shoot 32% from 3-point range, which is good for 271st in the nation. They are 203rd in the NCAA in rebounding with 34.8 boards per game, and 176th in assists per contest with 13.1. The Knights are 105th in turnovers per game with 14.0. The Knights surrender 68.5 points per contest, which ranks them 153rd in D-1. Their defense allows a 42% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 121st and 136th in those defensive statistics. They rank 287th with 14.3 assists allowed per contest and 250th with 36.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Knights are 260th in country in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Mustangs are 36th in the nation in offensive rating with 109.2. In terms of pace they are 314th in the country with 66.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 64th. As a team they are 53rd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shots, ranking 58th in Division 1. SMU is 172nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.6 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

UCF is 92nd in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.6 times per 100 possessions. The Knights have an offensive rating of 98.3, which is ranked 254th. They are 208th in D-1 in pace with 68.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 239th. As a unit they are 237th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 170th in the country.

Who will win tonight's SMU/UCF college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take UCF +1

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