SMU vs South Florida Predictions, College Basketball Expert Picks 3/7/2020

Game: SMU Mustangs vs South Florida Bulls

Date: Saturday, March 7, 2020

Location: Yuengling Center in Tampa, FL

TV: ESPN3

Odds/Point Spread: South Florida +1

Total/Over-Under: 128.5

The SMU Mustangs travel to Yuengling Center to play the South Florida Bulls on Saturday, March 7, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has SMU as 1 point favorites.

SMU heads into this matchup with a mark of 19-10. They currently have a point differential of 4.7 as they are averaging 73.4 points per contest while giving up 68.7 per game. South Florida has an overall record of 13-17. They are averaging 62.7 points per game and surrendering 62.8, good for a point differential of -0.1.

Valuable SMU Mustangs Betting Trends

The SMU Mustangs are 14-14-1 against the spread

The SMU Mustangs are 18-11-0 against the over/under

Important South Florida Bulls Betting Trends

The South Florida Bulls are 16-13-1 against the spread

The South Florida Bulls are 10-20-0 against the over/under

Key SMU Mustangs Injuries

11/14/19 F Jahmar Young Jr. Redshirt is out for season
03/01/20 F Everett Ray Knee is out indefinitely

Key South Florida Bulls Injuries

11/05/19 F Alexis Yetna Knee is out for season
11/05/19 F Mayan Kiir Left Team is out for season

Player Spotlight

Tyson Jolly averages 14.4 points per game in 34.9 minutes per contest. He averages 2.3 assists per contest and 6.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 80%. Kendric Davis comes into this contest averaging 14.7 points per game while playing 34.9 minutes per night. He pulls down 4.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is at 85%.

Player Spotlight

Laquincy Rideau averages 12.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 32.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.4 rebounds per contest and 4.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 38% and his free throw percentage is 56%. David Collins averages 13.6 points per game while playing 32.4 minutes per contest. He grabs 3.9 rebounds per game and has 1.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is at 65%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mustangs allow 68.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 157th in Division 1. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 129th and 287th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.3 rebounds a game which ranks 57th, and they give up 14.5 assists per contest which puts them in 300th place in the NCAA. They force 12.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 137th in the nation. SMU averages 73.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 109th in the country. Their average scoring margin is 4.7 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 100th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 213th in D-1. They average 36.3 rebounds per game and 15.7 assists per contest, which ranks them 123rd and 20th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 166th with 13.2 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bulls surrender 62.8 points per contest, which ranks them 25th in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 261st and 224th in those defensive statistics. They rank 71st with 11.2 assists allowed per contest, and 20th with 30.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bulls are 304th in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 15.2 per game. South Florida is 335th in the country with 62.7 points per game this year. They are 319th in the D-1 in shooting at 41%, while their average scoring margin is -0.1. They shoot 31% from 3-point range, which is good for 282nd in the nation. They are 259th in the country in rebounding with 33.8 boards per game and 339th in assists per contest with 10.2. The Bulls are 38th in turnovers per game with 14.9.

Advanced Statistics

The Mustangs are 37th in the nation in offensive rating with 108.9. In terms of pace they are 320th in the country with 66 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 73rd. As a team they are 54th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 62nd in Division 1. SMU is 162nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.7 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

South Florida is 18th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 19.3 times per 100 possessions. The Bulls have an offensive rating of 95.1, which is ranked 313th. They are 330th in D-1 in pace with 65.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 47% is 307th. As a unit they are 315th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 50% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 147th in the country.

Who will win tonight's SMU/South Florida college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take South Florida +1

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