Purdue vs Michigan Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 1/9/2020

Game: Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines
Date: Thursday, January 9, 2020
Location: Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, MI
TV: FS1
Odds/Point Spread: Michigan -4
Total/Over-Under: 126
The Purdue Boilermakers head to Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Thursday, January 9, 2020. The opening line for this game has Michigan as 4 point favorites.
Purdue heads into this matchup with a mark of 9-6. They currently have a point differential of 9.1 as they are averaging 68.2 points per contest while giving up 59.1 per game. Michigan has an overall record of 10-4. They are averaging 78.3 points per game and surrendering 67.4, good for a point differential of 10.9.
Valuable Purdue Boilermakers Betting Trends
The Purdue Boilermakers are 7-8-0 against the spread this season
The Purdue Boilermakers are 5-9-1 against the over/under this year
Important Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends
The Michigan Wolverines are 8-6-0 against the spread this season
The Michigan Wolverines are 7-7-0 against the over/under this year
Key Purdue Boilermakers Injuries
11/08/19 F Mason Gillis Redshirt is out for season
11/08/19 G Brandon Newman Redshirt is out for season
Key Michigan Wolverines Injuries
12/29/19 F Isaiah Livers Groin is out indefinitely
Player Spotlight
Matt Haarms comes into this game averaging 11.5 points per contest while playing 24.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.8 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.3 assists per game. His FG percentage is 57% while his free throw percentage is 66%. Jahaad Proctor averages 11.2 points per contest in 30.1 minutes per game. He averages 2.1 assists per game and 2.8 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 38% for the season while his free throw percentage is 79%.
Player Spotlight
Jon Teske scores 14.4 points per contest while playing 26.4 minutes per game. He hauls in 8.1 rebounds per contest and has 0.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 57% and his free throw percentage is at 68%. Zavier Simpson averages 11.4 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 31.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.5 rebounds per game and has 8.9 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 62%.
Useful Team Statistics
Purdue averages 68.2 points per contest, which is 261st in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 9.1 and their shooting percentage is 42% as a unit, which has them ranked 292nd. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 180th in the nation. They average 38.4 boards per contest and 14.7 assists per game, which ranks them 87th and 87th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 305th with 11.9 per game. The Boilermakers allow 59.1 points per contest, which is 13th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 39% shooting percentage and a 28% average from 3-point range, ranking them 48th and 28th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 33.5 rebounds a game which ranks 108th, and they allow 12.2 assists per game which puts them in 155th place in the country. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 220th in Division 1.
Useful Team Statistics
Michigan is 44th in the nation with 78.3 points per contest this season. They are 18th in the country in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 10.9. They shoot 38% from beyond the arc, which is good for 32nd in the NCAA. They are 153rd in D-1 in rebounding with 36.7 boards per contest and 38th in assists per game with 15.9. The Wolverines are 283rd in turnovers per contest with 12.2. The Wolverines give up 67.4 points per game, which ranks them 147th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 42% shooting percentage and a 29% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 154th and 43rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 9.2 dimes allowed per game and 172nd with 35.1 boards surrendered per contest. The Wolverines are 39th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 12.1 per contest this year.
Advanced Statistics
The Boilermakers are 167th in the nation in offensive rating with 101.9. In terms of pace they are 338th in the country with 65.3 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 48% is 272nd. As a team they are 300th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 50% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 158th in Division 1. Purdue is 297th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.9 times per 100 possessions.
Advanced Statistics
Michigan is 279th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.3 times per 100 possessions. The Wolverines are 37th in the country in offensive rating with 109.5. In terms of pace they are 140th in Division 1 with 70.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 17th. As a team they are 28th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 165th in the nation.
Who will win tonight's Purdue/Michigan college basketball game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Purdue +4
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Additional Resources:
Michigan Wolverines - Twitter
Purdue Boilermakers - Twitter