Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Predictions, College Basketball Expert Picks 3/7/2020

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, March 7, 2020

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Mississippi State -5

Total/Over-Under: 141.5

The Ole Miss Rebels travel to Humphrey Coliseum to play the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday, March 7, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has Mississippi State as -5 point favorites.

Ole Miss heads into this matchup with a mark of 15-15. They currently have a point differential of 1.9 as they are averaging 70.0 points per contest while giving up 68.1 per game. Mississippi State has an overall record of 19-11. They are averaging 73.5 points per game and surrendering 68.9, good for a point differential of 4.6.

Valuable Ole Miss Rebels Betting Trends

The Ole Miss Rebels are 15-14-1 against the spread

The Ole Miss Rebels are 16-14-0 against the over/under

Important Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 16-13-1 against the spread

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 20-10-0 against the over/under

Key Ole Miss Rebels Injuries

01/10/20 G Luis Rodriguez Foot is out indefinitely

Key Mississippi State Bulldogs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Breein Tyree comes into this contest averaging 20.0 points per game while playing 34.3 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 82%. Devontae Shuler averages 11.4 points per game in 32.9 minutes per contest this season. He averages 3.4 assists per contest and 4.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 41% for the year while his free throw percentage is 64%.

Player Spotlight

Reggie Perry averages 17.2 points per game while playing 31.0 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 9.9 rebounds per game and has 2.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is at 76%. Tyson Carter averages 14.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 28.8 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.5 rebounds per contest and 3.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 87%.

Useful Team Statistics

Ole Miss averages 70.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 212th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 1.9 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 185th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 190th in the nation. They average 33.9 rebounds per game and 13.4 assists per game, which ranks them 253rd and 153rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 170th with 13.1 per game. The Rebels allow 68.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 142nd in the country. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 29% average from behind the arc, ranking them 135th and 15th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 34.7 rebounds a game which ranks 160th and they give up 12.6 assists per contest, which puts them in 175th place in Division 1. They force 13.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 210th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Mississippi State is 107th in the country with 73.5 points per game this year. They are 34th in Division 1 in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 4.6. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 152nd in the nation. They are 83rd in the NCAA in rebounding with 37.3 boards per game, and 156th in assists per contest with 13.3. The Bulldogs are 88th in turnovers per game with 14.1. The Bulldogs surrender 68.9 points per contest, which ranks them 161st in D-1. Their defense allows a 43% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 176th and 101st in those defensive statistics. They rank 169th with 12.4 assists allowed per contest and 15th with 30.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bulldogs are 43rd in country in forcing turnovers with 11.5 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Rebels have an offensive rating of 100.7, which is ranked 199th. They are 196th in college basketball in pace with 69 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 206th. As a unit they are 162nd in the nation in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 260th in D-1. Ole Miss is 160th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.7 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Mississippi State is 89th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.6 times per 100 possessions. The Bulldogs are 36th in the country in offensive rating with 108.9. In terms of pace they are 265th in Division 1 with 67.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 102nd. As a team they are 53rd in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 28% of their shots, ranking 337th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Ole Miss/Mississippi State college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Mississippi State -5

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