Duke vs North Carolina State Predictions, Expert College Basketball Picks 2/19/2020

Game: Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina State Wolfpack

Date: Wednesday, February 19, 2020

Location: PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: North Carolina State +8

Total/Over-Under: 149

The Duke Blue Devils head to PNC Arena to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack on Wednesday, February 19, 2020. The opening line for this game has Duke as 8 point favorites.

Duke heads into this matchup with a mark of 22-3. They currently have a point differential of 17.2 as they are averaging 83.0 points per contest while giving up 65.8 per game. North Carolina State has an overall record of 16-9. They are averaging 74.3 points per game and surrendering 69.2, good for a point differential of 5.1.

Valuable Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends

The Duke Blue Devils are 13-12-0 against the spread this season

The Duke Blue Devils are 17-8-0 against the over/under this year

Important North Carolina State Wolfpack Betting Trends

The North Carolina State Wolfpack are 12-12-1 against the spread this season

The North Carolina State Wolfpack are 9-16-0 against the over/under this year

Key Duke Blue Devils Injuries

02/18/20 G Cassius Stanley Eye is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs NC State

Key North Carolina State Wolfpack Injuries

02/18/20 F Pat Andree Ankle is questionable Wednesday vs Duke

Player Spotlight

Vernon Carey Jr. comes into this game averaging 17.6 points per contest while playing 24.7 minutes per night this year. He grabs 8.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.2 assists per game. His FG percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is 64%. Tre Jones averages 15.8 points per contest in 34.7 minutes per game. He averages 6.6 assists per game and 4.0 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% for the season while his free throw percentage is 74%.

Player Spotlight

C.J. Bryce scores 14.0 points per contest while playing 33.7 minutes per game. He hauls in 6.1 rebounds per contest and has 2.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 76%. Markell Johnson averages 12.6 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 33.5 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.5 rebounds per game and has 6.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 58%.

Useful Team Statistics

Duke averages 83.0 points per contest, which is 3rd in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 17.2 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a unit, which has them ranked 11th. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 65th in the nation. They average 39.8 boards per contest and 16.3 assists per game, which ranks them 21st and 16th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 151st with 13.5 per game. The Blue Devils allow 65.8 points per contest, which is 81st in the NCAA. They also surrender a 41% shooting percentage and a 28% average from 3-point range, ranking them 93rd and 11th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 33.6 rebounds a game which ranks 115th, and they allow 12.0 assists per game which puts them in 136th place in the country. They force 16.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 315th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

North Carolina State is 95th in the nation with 74.3 points per contest this season. They are 121st in the country in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 5.1. They shoot 32% from beyond the arc, which is good for 264th in the NCAA. They are 153rd in D-1 in rebounding with 35.8 boards per contest and 158th in assists per game with 13.3. The Wolfpack are 282nd in turnovers per contest with 12.0. The Wolfpack give up 69.2 points per game, which ranks them 174th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 42% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 153rd and 133rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 65th with 11.1 dimes allowed per game and 273rd with 36.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Wolfpack are 251st in the nation in forcing turnovers with 14.4 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Blue Devils are 8th in the nation in offensive rating with 112.5. In terms of pace they are 38th in the country with 73.1 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 30th. As a team they are 39th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 299th in Division 1. Duke is 242nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.6 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

North Carolina State is 300th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.7 times per 100 possessions. The Wolfpack have an offensive rating of 104.8, which is ranked 105th. They are 120th in D-1 in pace with 70.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 141st. As a unit they are 164th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 210th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Duke/North Carolina State college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Duke -8

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