Dayton Flyers vs UMass Minutemen Predictions, College Basketball Picks, Odds 2/15/2020

Game: Dayton Flyers vs UMass Minutemen
Date: Saturday, February 15, 2020
Location: Mullins Center in Amherst, MA
TV: NBCS
Odds/Point Spread: UMass +14
Total/Over-Under: 148
The Dayton Flyers travel to Mullins Center to play the UMass Minutemen on Saturday, February 15, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has Dayton as 14 point favorites.
Dayton heads into this matchup with a mark of 22-2. They currently have a point differential of 16.0 as they are averaging 81.6 points per contest while giving up 65.7 per game. UMass has an overall mark of 10-14. They are averaging 69.5 points per contest and giving up 72.9, which is a point differential of -3.4.
Valuable Dayton Flyers Betting Trends
The Dayton Flyers are 13-10-1 against the spread
The Dayton Flyers are 16-8-0 against the over/under
Important UMass Minutemen Betting Trends
The UMass Minutemen are 13-10-1 against the spread
The UMass Minutemen are 12-12-0 against the over/under
Key Dayton Flyers Injuries
11/11/19 C Moulaye Sissoko Redshirt is out for season
01/10/20 F Chase Johnson Left Team is out for season
Key UMass Minutemen Injuries
12/19/19 G T.J. Weeks Abdominal is out for season
01/02/20 G John Buggs III ACL is out for season
Player Spotlight
Obi Toppin comes into this contest averaging 19.7 points per game while playing 31.3 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 7.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 72%. Jalen Crutcher averages 14.7 points per game in 33.3 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.1 assists per contest and 3.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 87%.
Player Spotlight
Tre Mitchell averages 16.2 points per game while playing 29.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6.1 rebounds per game and has 1.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 71%. Carl Pierre averages 13.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.5 rebounds per contest and 1.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 83%.
Useful Team Statistics
Dayton averages 81.6 points per contest this season, which ranks them 5th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 16.0 and their shooting percentage is 52% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 36th in the nation. They average 35.1 rebounds per game and 18.3 assists per game, which ranks them 199th and 2nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 240th with 12.6 per game. The Flyers allow 65.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 79th in the country. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 113th and 239th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.0 rebounds a game which ranks 50th and they give up 11.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 69th place in Division 1. They force 13.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 203rd in D-1.
Useful Team Statistics
UMass is 231st in the country with 69.5 points per game this year. They are 213th in Division 1 in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -3.4. They shoot 33% from 3-point range, which is good for 178th in the nation. They are 325th in the NCAA in rebounding with 32.3 boards per game, and 199th in assists per contest with 13.0. The Minutemen are 133rd in turnovers per game with 13.8. The Minutemen surrender 72.9 points per contest, which ranks them 270th in D-1. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 325th and 155th in those defensive statistics. They rank 297th with 14.5 assists allowed per contest and 253rd with 36.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Minutemen are 273rd in country in forcing turnovers with 14.8 per game.
Advanced Statistics
The Flyers are 2nd in the nation in offensive rating with 116.7. In terms of pace they are 219th in the country with 68.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 60% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 62% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 110th in Division 1. Dayton is 215th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16 times per 100 possessions.
Advanced Statistics
UMass is 110th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.3 times per 100 possessions. The Minutemen are 251st in the country in offensive rating with 98.2. In terms of pace they are 143rd in Division 1 with 70 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 185th. As a team they are 213th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 130th in the nation.
Who will win tonight's Dayton/UMass college basketball game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take UMass +14
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