Davidson vs Dayton Predictions, College Basketball Picks, Odds 2/28/2020

Game: Davidson Wildcats vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Friday, February 28, 2020

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Dayton -11

Total/Over-Under: 140.5

The Davidson Wildcats travel to UD Arena to play the Dayton Flyers on Friday, February 28, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has Dayton as 11 point favorites.

Davidson heads into this matchup with a mark of 15-12. They currently have a point differential of 6.6 as they are averaging 73.2 points per contest while giving up 66.6 per game. Dayton has an overall record of 26-2. They are averaging 79.9 points per game and surrendering 65.2, good for a point differential of 14.8.

Valuable Davidson Wildcats Betting Trends

The Davidson Wildcats are 12-15-0 against the spread

The Davidson Wildcats are 10-15-2 against the over/under

Important Dayton Flyers Betting Trends

The Dayton Flyers are 14-13-1 against the spread

The Dayton Flyers are 17-11-0 against the over/under

Key Davidson Wildcats Injuries

11/18/19 G KiShawn Pritchett Knee is out indefinitely
02/27/20 G Mike Jones Elbow is questionable Friday vs Dayton
01/10/20 G David Czerapowicz Hip is out indefinitely
01/09/20 G Luke Frampton Personal is out for season

Key Dayton Flyers Injuries

11/11/19 C Moulaye Sissoko Redshirt is out for season
01/10/20 F Chase Johnson Left Team is out for season

Player Spotlight

Kellan Grady comes into this contest averaging 16.8 points per game while playing 35.8 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 62% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 79%. Jon Axel Gudmundsson averages 14.0 points per game in 35.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.6 assists per contest and 7.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 41% for the year while his free throw percentage is 77%.

Player Spotlight

Obi Toppin averages 19.7 points per game while playing 31.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 7.7 rebounds per game and has 2.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 62% and his free throw percentage is at 70%. Jalen Crutcher averages 15.0 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.8 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.3 rebounds per contest and 4.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

Davidson averages 73.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 114th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 6.6 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 96th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 36th in the nation. They average 34.1 rebounds per game and 14.3 assists per game, which ranks them 247th and 88th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 325th with 11.2 per game. The Wildcats allow 66.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 99th in the country. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the arc, ranking them 132nd and 141st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.7 rebounds a game which ranks 71st and they give up 11.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 101st place in Division 1. They force 11.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 31st in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Dayton is 15th in the country with 79.9 points per game this year. They are 1st in Division 1 in shooting at 52%, while their average scoring margin is 14.8. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 41st in the nation. They are 204th in the NCAA in rebounding with 34.8 boards per game, and 5th in assists per contest with 17.5. The Flyers are 241st in turnovers per game with 12.5. The Flyers surrender 65.2 points per contest, which ranks them 63rd in D-1. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 90th and 168th in those defensive statistics. They rank 67th with 11.2 assists allowed per contest and 49th with 32.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Flyers are 167th in country in forcing turnovers with 13.2 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Wildcats have an offensive rating of 108.5, which is ranked 41st. They are 326th in college basketball in pace with 65.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 34th. As a unit they are 27th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 45% of their shot attempts, ranking 32nd in D-1. Davidson is 294th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.8 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Dayton is 202nd in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.1 times per 100 possessions. The Flyers have an offensive rating of 115.5, which is ranked 2nd. They are 234th in D-1 in pace with 68.3 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 59% is 2nd. As a unit they are 1st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 62% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 126th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Davidson/Dayton college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dayton -11

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