Buffalo vs Bowling Green Predictions, Expert College Basketball Picks 3/6/2020

Game: Buffalo Bulls vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Friday, March 6, 2020

Location: Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH

TV: ESPNU, CBSS

Odds/Point Spread: Bowling Green -1

Total/Over-Under: 156

The Buffalo Bulls head to Stroh Center to take on the Bowling Green Falcons on Friday, March 6, 2020. The opening line for this game has Bowling Green as 1 point favorites.

Buffalo heads into this matchup with a mark of 19-11. They currently have a point differential of 3.1 as they are averaging 78.3 points per contest while giving up 75.2 per game. Bowling Green has an overall mark of 21-9. They are averaging 74.2 points per contest and giving up 72.4, which is a point differential of 1.8.

Valuable Buffalo Bulls Betting Trends

The Buffalo Bulls are 12-16-0 against the spread this season

The Buffalo Bulls are 12-15-1 against the over/under this year

Important Bowling Green Falcons Betting Trends

The Bowling Green Falcons are 10-16-2 against the spread this season

The Bowling Green Falcons are 14-14-0 against the over/under this year

Key Buffalo Bulls Injuries

01/23/20 F Tra'Von Fagan Knee is out indefinitely

Key Bowling Green Falcons Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Jayvon Graves comes into this game averaging 16.9 points per contest while playing 34.5 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is 66%. Jeenathan Williams averages 11.6 points per contest in 25.5 minutes per game. He averages 1.2 assists per game and 4.6 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% for the season while his free throw percentage is 70%.

Player Spotlight

Justin Turner scores 18.6 points per contest while playing 32.2 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.6 rebounds per contest and has 2.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. Dylan Frye averages 13.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.6 minutes per game. He also brings in 3.3 rebounds per game and has 4.0 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is 68%.

Useful Team Statistics

Buffalo averages 78.3 points per contest, which is 25th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 3.1 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a unit, which has them ranked 218th. From 3-point territory they shoot 32%, which is good for 247th in the nation. They average 42.5 boards per contest and 14.9 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 38th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 116th with 13.8 per game. The Bulls allow 75.2 points per contest, which is 306th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 211th and 65th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 37.9 rebounds a game which ranks 305th, and they allow 12.9 assists per game which puts them in 202nd place in the country. They force 14.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 275th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Bowling Green is 98th in the nation with 74.2 points per contest this season. They are 273rd in the country in shooting at 42%, while their average scoring margin is 1.8. They shoot 33% from beyond the arc, which is good for 175th in the NCAA. They are 19th in D-1 in rebounding with 39.8 boards per contest and 256th in assists per game with 12.1. The Falcons are 333rd in turnovers per contest with 10.9. The Falcons give up 72.4 points per game, which ranks them 261st in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 42% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 94th and 178th in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 10.3 dimes allowed per game and 314th with 38.3 boards surrendered per contest. The Falcons are 65th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 11.8 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bulls are 124th in the nation in offensive rating with 104. In terms of pace they are 15th in the country with 74.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 219th. As a team they are 258th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 155th in Division 1. Buffalo is 254th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.4 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Bowling Green is 346th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions. The Falcons have an offensive rating of 103.1, which is ranked 145th. They are 74th in D-1 in pace with 71.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 48% is 277th. As a unit they are 259th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 209th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Buffalo/Bowling Green college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo +1

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