Buffalo vs Ball State NCAA Basketball Picks ATS 1/7/2020

Game: Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals
Date: Tuesday, January 7, 2020
Location: John E. Worthen Arena in Muncie, IN
TV: TBA
Odds/Point Spread: Ball State -5
Total/Over-Under: 147
The Buffalo Bulls head to John E. Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals on Tuesday, January 7, 2020. The opening line for this game has Ball State as 5 point favorites.
Buffalo heads into this matchup with a mark of 9-5. They currently have a point differential of 4.2 as they are averaging 80.2 points per contest while giving up 76.0 per game. Ball State has an overall mark of 8-6. They are averaging 71.3 points per contest and giving up 60.9, which is a point differential of 10.4.
Valuable Buffalo Bulls Betting Trends
The Buffalo Bulls are 6-7-0 against the spread this season
The Buffalo Bulls are 8-4-1 against the over/under this year
Important Ball State Cardinals Betting Trends
The Ball State Cardinals are 7-6-0 against the spread this season
The Ball State Cardinals are 5-7-1 against the over/under this year
Key Buffalo Bulls Injuries
01/04/20 F Tra'Von Fagan Knee is out indefinitely
Key Ball State Cardinals Injuries
11/17/19 F Zach Gunn Ankle is out for season
Player Spotlight
Jayvon Graves comes into this game averaging 16.9 points per contest while playing 33.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.6 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage is 71%. Davonta Jordan averages 13.1 points per contest in 29.9 minutes per game. He averages 5.5 assists per game and 4.9 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% for the season while his free throw percentage is 52%.
Player Spotlight
Ishmael El-Amin scores 14.6 points per contest while playing 30.1 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.5 rebounds per contest and has 2.4 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Tahjai Teague averages 13.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 26.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 7.8 rebounds per game and has 2.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 62%.
Useful Team Statistics
Buffalo averages 80.2 points per contest, which is 28th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 4.2 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a unit, which has them ranked 178th. From 3-point territory they shoot 34%, which is good for 142nd in the nation. They average 41.6 boards per contest and 17.3 assists per game, which ranks them 14th and 12th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 122nd with 14.3 per game. The Bulls allow 76.0 points per contest, which is 314th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 281st and 217th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 38.2 rebounds a game which ranks 298th, and they allow 14.6 assists per game which puts them in 290th place in the country. They force 16.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 291st in Division 1.
Useful Team Statistics
Ball State is 202nd in the nation with 71.3 points per contest this season. They are 183rd in the country in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is 10.4. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 123rd in the NCAA. They are 197th in D-1 in rebounding with 35.4 boards per contest and 97th in assists per game with 14.6. The Cardinals are 219th in turnovers per contest with 13.2. The Cardinals give up 60.9 points per game, which ranks them 27th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 40% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 80th and 228th in those defensive statistics. They rank 70th with 11.0 dimes allowed per game and 80th with 32.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Cardinals are 237th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 15.1 per contest this year.
Advanced Statistics
The Bulls are 96th in the nation in offensive rating with 106.2. In terms of pace they are 19th in the country with 75.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 151st. As a team they are 193rd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 92nd in Division 1. Buffalo is 255th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.8 times per 100 possessions.
Advanced Statistics
Ball State is 180th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.7 times per 100 possessions. The Cardinals have an offensive rating of 102.5, which is ranked 153rd. They are 216th in D-1 in pace with 69.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 106th. As a unit they are 145th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 48% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the country.
Who will win tonight's Buffalo/Ball State college basketball game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo +5
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Additional Resources:
Ball State Cardinals - Twitter
Buffalo Bulls - Twitter