Auburn vs Mississippi State Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 1/4/2020

Game: Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, January 4, 2020

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Mississippi State +2

Total/Over-Under: 138.5

The Auburn Tigers travel to Humphrey Coliseum to play the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday, January 4, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has Auburn as 2 point favorites.

Auburn heads into this matchup with a mark of 12-0. They currently have a point differential of 16.6 as they are averaging 82.2 points per contest while giving up 65.6 per game. Mississippi State has an overall record of 9-3. They are averaging 73.7 points per game and surrendering 63.8, good for a point differential of 9.9.

Valuable Auburn Tigers Betting Trends

The Auburn Tigers are 6-6-0 against the spread

The Auburn Tigers are 4-8-0 against the over/under

Important Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 6-5-1 against the spread

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 7-5-0 against the over/under

Key Auburn Tigers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Mississippi State Bulldogs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Samir Doughty comes into this contest averaging 16.4 points per game while playing 31.8 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 38% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 76%. Isaac Okoro averages 12.8 points per game in 29.3 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.8 assists per contest and 4.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 57% for the year while his free throw percentage is 64%.

Player Spotlight

Tyson Carter averages 15.4 points per game while playing 32.7 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 2.6 rebounds per game and has 4.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 38% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. Reggie Perry averages 15.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 29.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 9.8 rebounds per contest and 2.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 64%.

Useful Team Statistics

Auburn averages 82.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 12th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 16.6 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 67th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 203rd in the nation. They average 42.2 rebounds per game and 14.9 assists per game, which ranks them 11th and 80th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 197th with 13.4 per game. The Tigers allow 65.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 106th in the country. They also allow a 40% shooting percentage and a 29% average from behind the arc, ranking them 98th and 40th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 35.0 rebounds a game which ranks 166th and they give up 10.4 assists per contest, which puts them in 45th place in Division 1. They force 15.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 238th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Mississippi State is 138th in the country with 73.7 points per game this year. They are 27th in Division 1 in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 9.9. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 102nd in the nation. They are 130th in the NCAA in rebounding with 37.3 boards per game, and 95th in assists per contest with 14.8. The Bulldogs are 79th in turnovers per game with 14.9. The Bulldogs surrender 63.8 points per contest, which ranks them 69th in D-1. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 132nd and 268th in those defensive statistics. They rank 118th with 11.8 assists allowed per contest and 9th with 29.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bulldogs are 145th in country in forcing turnovers with 13.7 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Tigers are 11th in the nation in offensive rating with 113.1. In terms of pace they are 105th in the country with 71.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 56th. As a team they are 67th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shots, ranking 50th in Division 1. Auburn is 275th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.5 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Mississippi State is 54th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 18.8 times per 100 possessions. The Bulldogs are 22nd in the country in offensive rating with 111.8. In terms of pace they are 330th in Division 1 with 65.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 50th. As a team they are 40th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 280th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Auburn/Mississippi State college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mississippi State +2

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