Arkansas vs LSU Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 1/8/2020

Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs LSU Tigers

Date: Wednesday, January 8, 2020

Location: Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge, LA

TV: ESPN2, ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: LSU -5

Total/Over-Under: 146.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks head to Pete Maravich Assembly Center to take on the LSU Tigers on Wednesday, January 8, 2020. The opening line for this game has LSU as 5 point favorites.

Arkansas comes into this game with an overall record of 12-1. They currently have a point differential of 14.5 as they are averaging 74.3 points per game while giving up 59.8 per contest. LSU has an overall record of 9-4. They are averaging 80.8 points per game and surrendering 67.5, good for a point differential of 13.4.

Valuable Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 7-6-0 against the spread this season

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 3-10-0 against the over/under this year

Important LSU Tigers Betting Trends

The LSU Tigers are 8-5-0 against the spread this season

The LSU Tigers are 6-7-0 against the over/under this year

Key Arkansas Razorbacks Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key LSU Tigers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Mason Jones comes into this game averaging 19.5 points per contest while playing 32.3 minutes per night this year. He grabs 6.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 53% while his free throw percentage is 91%. Isaiah Joe averages 17.4 points per contest in 37.5 minutes per game. He averages 2.2 assists per game and 4.7 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 37% for the season while his free throw percentage is 82%.

Player Spotlight

Skylar Mays scores 15.9 points per contest while playing 33.5 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.7 rebounds per contest and has 2.9 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is at 86%. Emmitt Williams averages 13.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 26.8 minutes per game. He also brings in 7.1 rebounds per game and has 1.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 64% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Arkansas averages 74.3 points per contest, which is 125th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 14.5 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 149th. From 3-point territory they shoot 31%, which is good for 269th in the nation. They average 34.3 boards per contest and 12.9 assists per game, which ranks them 256th and 213th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 221st with 13.2 per game. The Razorbacks allow 59.8 points per contest, which is 18th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 39% shooting percentage and a 22% average from 3-point range, ranking them 49th and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 36.9 rebounds a game which ranks 264th, and they allow 9.3 assists per game which puts them in 18th place in the country. They force 18.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 336th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

LSU is 23rd in the nation with 80.8 points per contest this season. They are 7th in the country in shooting at 50%, while their average scoring margin is 13.4. They shoot 33% from beyond the arc, which is good for 205th in the NCAA. They are 73rd in D-1 in rebounding with 38.8 boards per contest and 154th in assists per game with 13.7. The Tigers are 158th in turnovers per contest with 13.8. The Tigers give up 67.5 points per game, which ranks them 151st in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 40% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 76th and 231st in those defensive statistics. They rank 181st with 12.5 dimes allowed per game and 69th with 32.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Tigers are 179th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Razorbacks are 178th in the nation in offensive rating with 101.6. In terms of pace they are 110th in the country with 71.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 145th. As a team they are 122nd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shots, ranking 64th in Division 1. Arkansas is 220th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.3 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

LSU is 191st in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.6 times per 100 possessions. The Tigers have an offensive rating of 112.4, which is ranked 13th. They are 105th in D-1 in pace with 71.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 25th. As a unit they are 23rd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shot attempts, ranking 270th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Arkansas/LSU college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Arkansas +5

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