Arizona vs USC Predictions, Expert College Basketball Picks 2/27/2020

Game: Arizona Wildcats vs USC Trojans

Date: Thursday, February 27, 2020

Location: Galen Center in Los Angeles, CA

TV: ESPN, ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: USC -1

Total/Over-Under: 144

The Arizona Wildcats head to Galen Center to take on the USC Trojans on Thursday, February 27, 2020. The opening line for this game has USC as 1 point favorites.

Arizona heads into this matchup with a mark of 19-8. They currently have a point differential of 12.9 as they are averaging 78.1 points per contest while giving up 65.3 per game. USC has an overall mark of 19-9. They are averaging 71.3 points per contest and giving up 67.3, which is a point differential of 4.0.

Valuable Arizona Wildcats Betting Trends

The Arizona Wildcats are 15-12-0 against the spread this season

The Arizona Wildcats are 13-14-0 against the over/under this year

Important USC Trojans Betting Trends

The USC Trojans are 17-11-0 against the spread this season

The USC Trojans are 9-18-1 against the over/under this year

Key Arizona Wildcats Injuries

11/22/19 G Devonaire Doutrive Dismissed is out indefinitely
11/05/19 G Brandon Williams Knee is out for season

Key USC Trojans Injuries

12/16/19 G Charles O'Bannon Jr. Personal has left the program
02/26/20 F Nick Rakocevic Flu is "?" Thursday vs Arizona
02/26/20 G Kyle Sturdivant Personal is "?" Thursday vs Arizona

Player Spotlight

Zeke Nnaji comes into this game averaging 16.3 points per contest while playing 30.2 minutes per night this year. He grabs 8.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 0.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 62% while his free throw percentage is 78%. Nico Mannion averages 13.7 points per contest in 31.4 minutes per game. He averages 5.4 assists per game and 2.6 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 40% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Onyeka Okongwu scores 16.7 points per contest while playing 30.4 minutes per game. He hauls in 8.9 rebounds per contest and has 1.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 62% and his free throw percentage is at 72%. Jonah Mathews averages 12.9 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 31.7 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.3 rebounds per game and has 1.9 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 38% and his free throw percentage is 76%.

Useful Team Statistics

Arizona averages 78.1 points per contest, which is 27th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 12.9 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 80th. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 55th in the nation. They average 37.5 boards per contest and 15.6 assists per game, which ranks them 79th and 23rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 321st with 11.4 per game. The Wildcats allow 65.3 points per contest, which is 67th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 40% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 30th and 124th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 33.7 rebounds a game which ranks 114th, and they allow 12.0 assists per game which puts them in 129th place in the country. They force 14.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 269th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

USC is 175th in the nation with 71.3 points per contest this season. They are 173rd in the country in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is 4.0. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 109th in the NCAA. They are 42nd in D-1 in rebounding with 38.9 boards per contest and 91st in assists per game with 14.3. The Trojans are 62nd in turnovers per contest with 14.4. The Trojans give up 67.3 points per game, which ranks them 119th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 39% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 25th and 137th in those defensive statistics. They rank 163rd with 12.4 dimes allowed per game and 196th with 35.4 boards surrendered per contest. The Trojans are 137th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 12.9 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Wildcats are 22nd in the nation in offensive rating with 110.3. In terms of pace they are 129th in the country with 70.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 94th. As a team they are 69th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 257th in Division 1. Arizona is 335th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.9 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

USC is 106th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.4 times per 100 possessions. The Trojans are 209th in the country in offensive rating with 99.9. In terms of pace they are 120th in Division 1 with 70.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 214th. As a team they are 228th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 298th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Arizona/USC college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Arizona +1

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