Alabama vs LSU Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 1/29/2020
Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers
Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2020
Location: Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge, LA
TV: ESPN2, ESPNU
Odds/Point Spread: LSU -4.5
Total/Over-Under: 164
The Alabama Crimson Tide travel to Pete Maravich Assembly Center to play the LSU Tigers on Wednesday, January 29, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has LSU as 4.5 point favorites.
Alabama heads into this matchup with a mark of 12-7. They currently have a point differential of 6.2 as they are averaging 82.8 points per contest while giving up 76.6 per game. LSU has an overall record of 15-4. They are averaging 79.6 points per game and surrendering 69.6, good for a point differential of 9.9.
Valuable Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 15-4-0 against the spread
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 12-7-0 against the over/under
Important LSU Tigers Betting Trends
The LSU Tigers are 9-9-1 against the spread
The LSU Tigers are 10-9-0 against the over/under
Key Alabama Crimson Tide Injuries
11/11/19 G Jahvon Quinerly Eligibility is out for season
11/05/19 F Juwan Gary Knee is out for season
01/04/20 F James Rojas ACL is out for season
Key LSU Tigers Injuries
01/15/20 G Charles Manning Jr. Foot is out indefinitely
Player Spotlight
John Petty averages 16.4 points per game in 33.9 minutes per contest. He averages 2.1 assists per contest and 7.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 48% for the year while his free throw percentage is 70%. Kira Lewis Jr. comes into this contest averaging 16.8 points per game while playing 37.3 minutes per night. He pulls down 5.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage is at 82%.
Player Spotlight
Emmitt Williams averages 13.5 points per game and he sees the court an average of 28.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.6 rebounds per contest and 1.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 60% and his free throw percentage is 80%. Skylar Mays averages 15.7 points per game while playing 34.4 minutes per contest. He grabs 4.8 rebounds per game and has 3.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is at 85%.
Useful Team Statistics
The Crimson Tide allow 76.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 323rd in Division 1. They also allow a 40% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the arc, ranking them 57th and 69th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 39.2 rebounds a game which ranks 331st, and they give up 11.7 assists per contest which puts them in 110th place in the NCAA. They force 14.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 217th in the nation. Alabama averages 82.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 5th in the country. Their average scoring margin is 6.2 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 147th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 70th in D-1. They average 41.5 rebounds per game and 13.9 assists per contest, which ranks them 7th and 121st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 30th with 15.9 per game.
Useful Team Statistics
The Tigers surrender 69.6 points per contest, which ranks them 193rd in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 106th and 238th in those defensive statistics. They rank 173rd with 12.4 assists allowed per contest, and 56th with 32.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Tigers are 140th in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 13.2 per game. LSU is 21st in the country with 79.6 points per game this year. They are 20th in the D-1 in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 9.9. They shoot 31% from 3-point range, which is good for 286th in the nation. They are 31st in the country in rebounding with 39.9 boards per game and 142nd in assists per contest with 13.7. The Tigers are 134th in turnovers per game with 13.8.
Advanced Statistics
The Crimson Tide are 111th in the nation in offensive rating with 104.9. In terms of pace they are 3rd in the country with 77.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 77th. As a team they are 57th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 47% of their shots, ranking 20th in Division 1. Alabama is 94th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.7 times per 100 possessions.
Advanced Statistics
LSU is 187th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions. The Tigers have an offensive rating of 111.8, which is ranked 11th. They are 126th in D-1 in pace with 70.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 55th. As a unit they are 36th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 268th in the country.
Who will win tonight's Alabama/LSU college basketball game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take LSU -4.5
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Additional Resources:
LSU Tigers - Twitter
Alabama Crimson Tide - Twitter