Alabama vs Kentucky Predictions, Picks, Tips, 1/11/2020

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2020

Location: Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Kentucky -9

Total/Over-Under: 154

The Alabama Crimson Tide travel to Rupp Arena to play the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday, January 11, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has Kentucky as 9 point favorites.

Alabama heads into this matchup with a mark of 8-6. They currently have a point differential of 5.4 as they are averaging 84.4 points per contest while giving up 78.9 per game. Kentucky has an overall mark of 11-3. They are averaging 74.7 points per contest and giving up 62.2, which is a point differential of 12.5.

Valuable Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 11-3-0 against the spread

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 10-4-0 against the over/under

Important Kentucky Wildcats Betting Trends

The Kentucky Wildcats are 7-7-0 against the spread

The Kentucky Wildcats are 7-7-0 against the over/under

Key Alabama Crimson Tide Injuries

11/11/19 G Jahvon Quinerly Eligibility is out for season
11/05/19 F Juwan Gary Knee is out for season
01/04/20 F James Rojas ACL is out for season

Key Kentucky Wildcats Injuries

11/07/19 G Dontaie Allen Knee is out indefinitely
01/08/20 F Ben Jordan Head is questionable
01/08/20 G Johnny Juzang Illness is questionable

Player Spotlight

John Petty comes into this contest averaging 16.7 points per game while playing 33.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 7.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 76%. Kira Lewis Jr. averages 16.6 points per game in 37.9 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.6 assists per contest and 5.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Tyrese Maxey averages 14.0 points per game while playing 33.3 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.3 rebounds per game and has 3.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Nick Richards averages 13.0 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 28.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.5 rebounds per contest and 0.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 69% and his free throw percentage is 72%.

Useful Team Statistics

Alabama averages 84.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 4th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 5.4 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 143rd. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 40th in the nation. They average 41.4 rebounds per game and 14.5 assists per game, which ranks them 13th and 98th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 33rd with 16.0 per game. The Crimson Tide allow 78.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 333rd in the country. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the arc, ranking them 160th and 73rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 38.9 rebounds a game which ranks 316th and they give up 12.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 150th place in Division 1. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 183rd in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Kentucky is 110th in the country with 74.7 points per game this year. They are 65th in Division 1 in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 12.5. They shoot 30% from 3-point range, which is good for 304th in the nation. They are 120th in the NCAA in rebounding with 37.4 boards per game, and 57th in assists per contest with 15.2. The Wildcats are 273rd in turnovers per game with 12.4. The Wildcats surrender 62.2 points per contest, which ranks them 43rd in D-1. Their defense allows a 39% shooting percentage and a 30% average from 3-point range, ranking them 37th and 61st in those defensive statistics. They rank 60th with 10.8 assists allowed per contest and 28th with 30.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Wildcats are 125th in country in forcing turnovers with 13.4 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Crimson Tide are 93rd in the nation in offensive rating with 106. In terms of pace they are 4th in the country with 78.1 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 63rd. As a team they are 53rd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 47% of their shots, ranking 23rd in Division 1. Alabama is 120th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.6 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Kentucky is 260th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.6 times per 100 possessions. The Wildcats have an offensive rating of 107.2, which is ranked 78th. They are 240th in D-1 in pace with 69.1 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 155th. As a unit they are 75th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 28% of their shot attempts, ranking 338th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Alabama/Kentucky college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Kentucky -9

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