Alabama vs Florida NCAA Basketball Picks 1/4/2020

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida Gators

Date: Saturday, January 4, 2020

Location: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center in Gainesville, FL

TV: ESPN2, ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Florida -8.5

Total/Over-Under: 150

The Alabama Crimson Tide travel to Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center to play the Florida Gators on Saturday, January 4, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has Florida as 8.5 point favorites.

Alabama heads into this matchup with a mark of 7-5. They currently have a point differential of 5.1 as they are averaging 82.8 points per contest while giving up 77.7 per game. Florida has an overall mark of 8-4. They are averaging 70.8 points per contest and giving up 62.6, which is a point differential of 8.2.

Valuable Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 9-3-0 against the spread

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 8-4-0 against the over/under

Important Florida Gators Betting Trends

The Florida Gators are 4-8-0 against the spread

The Florida Gators are 6-6-0 against the over/under

Key Alabama Crimson Tide Injuries

12/30/19 G James Bolden Hip injured last game, is questionable
11/11/19 G Jahvon Quinerly Eligibility is out for season
11/05/19 F Juwan Gary Knee is out for season

Key Florida Gators Injuries

12/30/19 C Gorjok Gak Left Team is out for season
12/28/19 F Dontay Bassett Hip left last game, is questionable
12/28/19 G Scottie Lewis Concussion is questionable

Player Spotlight

John Petty averages 16.4 points per game in 32.8 minutes per contest. He averages 2.3 assists per contest and 7.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 50% for the year while his free throw percentage is 74%. Kira Lewis Jr. comes into this contest averaging 16.6 points per game while playing 37.3 minutes per night. He pulls down 5.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is at 78%.

Player Spotlight

Keyontae Johnson averages 13.3 points per game and he sees the court an average of 29.8 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.4 rebounds per contest and 1.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is 74%. Kerry Blackshear Jr. averages 14.2 points per game while playing 27.4 minutes per contest. He grabs 8.4 rebounds per game and has 1.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Crimson Tide allow 77.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 327th in Division 1. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the arc, ranking them 174th and 76th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 37.9 rebounds a game which ranks 291st, and they give up 12.4 assists per contest which puts them in 178th place in the NCAA. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 190th in the nation. Alabama averages 82.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 9th in the country. Their average scoring margin is 5.1 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 153rd. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 50th in D-1. They average 40.5 rebounds per game and 14.8 assists per contest, which ranks them 33rd and 89th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 22nd with 16.5 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Gators surrender 62.6 points per contest, which ranks them 55th in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 39% shooting percentage and a 29% average from 3-point range, ranking them 60th and 33rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 117th with 11.8 assists allowed per contest, and 98th with 33.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Gators are 133rd in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per game. Florida is 208th in the country with 70.8 points per game this year. They are 172nd in the D-1 in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is 8.2. They shoot 31% from 3-point range, which is good for 270th in the nation. They are 119th in the country in rebounding with 37.6 boards per game and 302nd in assists per contest with 11.3. The Gators are 304th in turnovers per game with 12.0.

Advanced Statistics

The Crimson Tide are 111th in the nation in offensive rating with 105.1. In terms of pace they are 4th in the country with 78.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 72nd. As a team they are 71st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 47% of their shots, ranking 17th in Division 1. Alabama is 83rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 18.3 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Florida is 282nd in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.3 times per 100 possessions. The Gators are 132nd in the country in offensive rating with 104. In terms of pace they are 277th in Division 1 with 68.1 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 193rd. As a team they are 180th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 208th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Alabama/Florida college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Florida -8.5

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