Air Force vs Utah State Predictions, Picks, Tips, 1/21/2020

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies
Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2020
Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT
TV: ESPNU
Odds/Point Spread: Utah State -11.5
Total/Over-Under: 147.5
The Air Force Falcons head to Dee Glen Smith Spectrum to take on the Utah State Aggies on Tuesday, January 21, 2020. The opening line for this game has Utah State as 11.5 point favorites.
Air Force comes into this game with an overall record of 9-10. They currently have a point differential of 4.5 as they are averaging 76.7 points per game while giving up 72.2 per contest. Utah State has an overall record of 14-6. They are averaging 78.6 points per game and surrendering 65.6, good for a point differential of 13.0.
Valuable Air Force Falcons Betting Trends
The Air Force Falcons are 10-8-0 against the spread this season
The Air Force Falcons are 11-7-0 against the over/under this year
Important Utah State Aggies Betting Trends
The Utah State Aggies are 6-12-0 against the spread this season
The Utah State Aggies are 8-9-1 against the over/under this year
Key Air Force Falcons Injuries
No key injuries to report
Key Utah State Aggies Injuries
No key injuries to report
Player Spotlight
Lavelle Scottie comes into this game averaging 15.2 points per contest while playing 29.9 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.6 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is 72%. Ryan Swan-Ford averages 13.9 points per contest in 26.9 minutes per game. He averages 1.9 assists per game and 4.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 52% for the season while his free throw percentage is 76%.
Player Spotlight
Sam Merrill scores 17.7 points per contest while playing 34.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.8 rebounds per contest and has 3.6 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is at 89%. Justin Bean averages 13.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 28.6 minutes per game. He also brings in 10.3 rebounds per game and has 2.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 80%.
Useful Team Statistics
Air Force averages 76.7 points per contest, which is 61st in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 4.5 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a unit, which has them ranked 24th. From 3-point territory they shoot 39%, which is good for 10th in the nation. They average 32.4 boards per contest and 13.9 assists per game, which ranks them 324th and 128th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 275th with 12.3 per game. The Falcons allow 72.2 points per contest, which is 250th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 323rd and 314th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 30.6 rebounds a game which ranks 18th, and they allow 14.4 assists per game which puts them in 286th place in the country. They force 11.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 24th in Division 1.
Useful Team Statistics
Utah State is 35th in the nation with 78.6 points per contest this season. They are 125th in the country in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 13.0. They shoot 32% from beyond the arc, which is good for 245th in the NCAA. They are 14th in D-1 in rebounding with 41.3 boards per contest and 17th in assists per game with 16.5. The Aggies are 268th in turnovers per contest with 12.4. The Aggies give up 65.6 points per game, which ranks them 92nd in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 40% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 63rd and 97th in those defensive statistics. They rank 58th with 10.8 dimes allowed per game and 75th with 33.0 boards surrendered per contest. The Aggies are 182nd in the nation in forcing turnovers with 13.8 per contest this year.
Advanced Statistics
The Falcons have an offensive rating of 111.6, which is ranked 10th. They are 246th in college basketball in pace with 68.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 10th. As a unit they are 3rd in the nation in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 77th in D-1. Air Force is 222nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.1 times per 100 possessions.
Advanced Statistics
Utah State is 296th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.9 times per 100 possessions. The Aggies have an offensive rating of 109.2, which is ranked 38th. They are 140th in D-1 in pace with 70.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 145th. As a unit they are 83rd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 179th in the country.
Who will win tonight's Air Force/Utah State college basketball game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Air Force +11.5
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Additional Resources:
Utah State Aggies - Twitter
Air Force Falcons - Twitter