Air Force vs UNLV Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 1/4/2020

Game: Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Date: Saturday, January 4, 2020

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Paradise, NV

TV: ESPN2, ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: UNLV -6

Total/Over-Under: 143.5

The Air Force Falcons travel to Thomas & Mack Center to play the UNLV Runnin' Rebels on Saturday, January 4, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has UNLV as 6 point favorites.

Air Force heads into this matchup with a mark of 7-7. They currently have a point differential of 6.5 as they are averaging 77.9 points per contest while giving up 71.4 per game. UNLV has an overall record of 7-8. They are averaging 68.3 points per game and surrendering 67.5, good for a point differential of 0.9.

Valuable Air Force Falcons Betting Trends

The Air Force Falcons are 7-6-0 against the spread

The Air Force Falcons are 9-4-0 against the over/under

Important UNLV Runnin' Rebels Betting Trends

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are 8-7-0 against the spread

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are 6-9-0 against the over/under

Key Air Force Falcons Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key UNLV Runnin' Rebels Injuries

01/01/20 G Elijah Mitrou-Long Thumb is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Ryan Swan-Ford averages 13.1 points per game in 25.2 minutes per contest. He averages 1.8 assists per contest and 3.2 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 54% for the year while his free throw percentage is 78%. Lavelle Scottie comes into this contest averaging 14.2 points per game while playing 28.9 minutes per night. He pulls down 5.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 39% while his free throw percentage is at 71%.

Player Spotlight

Donnie Tillman averages 11.9 points per game and he sees the court an average of 30.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.3 rebounds per contest and 2.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 74%. Amauri Hardy averages 15.1 points per game while playing 35.7 minutes per contest. He grabs 3.1 rebounds per game and has 3.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Falcons allow 71.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 234th in Division 1. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc, ranking them 312th and 333rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 30.1 rebounds a game which ranks 19th, and they give up 15.0 assists per contest which puts them in 309th place in the NCAA. They force 11.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 23rd in the nation. Air Force averages 77.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 60th in the country. Their average scoring margin is 6.5 and their shooting percentage is 49% as a team, which has them ranked 11th. Behind the arc they shoot 43% which is good for 3rd in D-1. They average 30.3 rebounds per game and 13.9 assists per contest, which ranks them 342nd and 143rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 311th with 11.8 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Runnin' Rebels surrender 67.5 points per contest, which ranks them 148th in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 42% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 184th and 205th in those defensive statistics. They rank 261st with 13.8 assists allowed per contest, and 28th with 30.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Runnin' Rebels are 75th in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 12.7 per game. UNLV is 258th in the country with 68.3 points per game this year. They are 232nd in the D-1 in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is 0.9. They shoot 32% from 3-point range, which is good for 217th in the nation. They are 105th in the country in rebounding with 38.1 boards per game and 265th in assists per contest with 12.2. The Runnin' Rebels are 52nd in turnovers per game with 15.4.

Advanced Statistics

The Falcons have an offensive rating of 114.7, which is ranked 5th. They are 285th in college basketball in pace with 67.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 58% is 3rd. As a unit they are 3rd in the nation in true shooting percentage with 62% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 83rd in D-1. Air Force is 252nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.8 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

UNLV is 39th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 19.2 times per 100 possessions. The Runnin' Rebels are 176th in the country in offensive rating with 101.7. In terms of pace they are 345th in Division 1 with 64.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 227th. As a team they are 201st in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 143rd in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Air Force/UNLV college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take UNLV -6

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here