Air Force vs Colorado State Predictions, Expert College Basketball Picks 2/29/2020

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams
Date: Saturday, February 29, 2020
Location: Moby Arena in Fort Collins, CO
TV: ESPN3
Odds/Point Spread: Colorado State -11
Total/Over-Under: 151
The Air Force Falcons head to Moby Arena to take on the Colorado State Rams on Saturday, February 29, 2020. The opening line for this game has Colorado State as 11 point favorites.
Air Force heads into this matchup with a mark of 11-18. They currently have a point differential of -1.0 as they are averaging 73.3 points per contest while giving up 74.3 per game. Colorado State has an overall mark of 19-11. They are averaging 75.2 points per contest and giving up 71.8, which is a point differential of 3.4.
Valuable Air Force Falcons Betting Trends
The Air Force Falcons are 10-18-0 against the spread this season
The Air Force Falcons are 16-12-0 against the over/under this year
Important Colorado State Rams Betting Trends
The Colorado State Rams are 14-15-0 against the spread this season
The Colorado State Rams are 17-12-0 against the over/under this year
Key Air Force Falcons Injuries
No key injuries to report
Key Colorado State Rams Injuries
No key injuries to report
Player Spotlight
Lavelle Scottie comes into this game averaging 15.7 points per contest while playing 30.3 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.1 assists per game. His FG percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is 66%. Ryan Swan-Ford averages 12.8 points per contest in 26.9 minutes per game. He averages 1.8 assists per game and 5.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 50% for the season while his free throw percentage is 72%.
Player Spotlight
Isaiah Stevens scores 12.9 points per contest while playing 32.6 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.0 rebounds per contest and has 4.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 81%. Nico Carvacho averages 12.7 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.1 minutes per game. He also brings in 10.8 rebounds per game and has 1.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is 48%.
Useful Team Statistics
Air Force averages 73.3 points per contest, which is 113th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is -1.0 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 99th. From 3-point territory they shoot 38%, which is good for 20th in the nation. They average 33.0 boards per contest and 14.7 assists per game, which ranks them 295th and 52nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 244th with 12.4 per game. The Falcons allow 74.3 points per contest, which is 291st in the NCAA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 318th and 328th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 32.9 rebounds a game which ranks 77th, and they allow 14.0 assists per game which puts them in 276th place in the country. They force 11.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 31st in Division 1.
Useful Team Statistics
Colorado State is 72nd in the nation with 75.2 points per contest this season. They are 32nd in the country in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.4. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 46th in the NCAA. They are 166th in D-1 in rebounding with 35.5 boards per contest and 27th in assists per game with 15.3. The Rams are 175th in turnovers per contest with 13.1. The Rams give up 71.8 points per game, which ranks them 245th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 243rd and 232nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 231st with 13.3 dimes allowed per game and 101st with 33.3 boards surrendered per contest. The Rams are 132nd in the nation in forcing turnovers with 12.9 per contest this year.
Advanced Statistics
The Falcons have an offensive rating of 105.7, which is ranked 88th. They are 169th in college basketball in pace with 69.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 51st. As a unit they are 37th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 88th in D-1. Air Force is 208th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.1 times per 100 possessions.
Advanced Statistics
Colorado State is 179th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions. The Rams are 80th in the country in offensive rating with 106.1. In terms of pace they are 152nd in Division 1 with 69.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 27th. As a team they are 31st in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 132nd in the nation.
Who will win tonight's Air Force/Colorado State college basketball game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Air Force +11
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Additional Resources:
Colorado State Rams - Twitter
Air Force Falcons - Twitter