Valparaiso vs Missouri State predictions 1/23/20 College Basketball Picks & Tips

Game: Valparaiso Crusaders vs Missouri State Bears

Date: Thursday, January 23, 2020

Location: JQH Arena in Springfield, MO

TV: CBSS

Odds/Point Spread: Missouri State -1

Total/Over-Under: 144

The Valparaiso Crusaders head to JQH Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears on Thursday, January 23, 2020. The opening line for this game has Missouri State as 1 point favorites.

Valparaiso comes into this game with an overall record of 10-9. They currently have a point differential of 1.4 as they are averaging 74.5 points per game while giving up 73.1 per contest. Missouri State has an overall mark of 9-10. They are averaging 67.1 points per contest and giving up 65.9, which is a point differential of 1.2.

Valuable Valparaiso Crusaders Betting Trends

The Valparaiso Crusaders are 13-5-0 against the spread this season

The Valparaiso Crusaders are 10-8-0 against the over/under this year

Important Missouri State Bears Betting Trends

The Missouri State Bears are 10-9-0 against the spread this season

The Missouri State Bears are 8-11-0 against the over/under this year

Key Valparaiso Crusaders Injuries

01/22/20 G Ryan Fazekas Wrist is questionable Thursday vs Missouri St
01/22/20 G Nick Robinson Back is questionable Thursday vs Missouri St
01/22/20 G Daniel Sackey Quad is questionable Thursday vs Missouri St

Key Missouri State Bears Injuries

12/21/19 F Jared Ridder Shoulder is out for season
11/14/19 F Tyem Freeman Knee is out indefinitely
01/22/20 F Tulio Da Silva Personal is questionable Thursday vs Valparaiso
01/18/20 G Tyrik Dixon Shoulder is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Javon Freeman-Liberty comes into this game averaging 21.2 points per contest while playing 33.3 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.6 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.3 assists per game. His FG percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is 74%. Mileek McMillan averages 8.9 points per contest in 17.3 minutes per game. He averages 0.9 assists per game and 2.9 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% for the season while his free throw percentage is 77%.

Player Spotlight

Keandre Cook scores 15.0 points per contest while playing 33.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.0 rebounds per contest and has 1.7 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is at 88%. Tulio Da Silva averages 10.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.1 minutes per game. He also brings in 7.3 rebounds per game and has 1.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 52% and his free throw percentage is 65%.

Useful Team Statistics

Valparaiso averages 74.5 points per contest, which is 105th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 1.4 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a unit, which has them ranked 153rd. From 3-point territory they shoot 34%, which is good for 148th in the nation. They average 34.5 boards per contest and 15.9 assists per game, which ranks them 238th and 33rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 136th with 13.8 per game. The Crusaders allow 73.1 points per contest, which is 273rd in the NCAA. They also surrender a 48% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 342nd and 316th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 34.3 rebounds a game which ranks 136th, and they allow 13.9 assists per game which puts them in 266th place in the country. They force 16.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 307th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Missouri State is 289th in the nation with 67.1 points per contest this season. They are 211th in the country in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is 1.2. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 97th in the NCAA. They are 172nd in D-1 in rebounding with 35.9 boards per contest and 298th in assists per game with 11.5. The Bears are 109th in turnovers per contest with 14.2. The Bears give up 65.9 points per game, which ranks them 98th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 42% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 176th and 177th in those defensive statistics. They rank 41st with 10.5 dimes allowed per game and 34th with 31.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Bears are 48th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 12.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Crusaders have an offensive rating of 102.5, which is ranked 154th. They are 80th in college basketball in pace with 71.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 124th. As a unit they are 158th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 127th in D-1. Valparaiso is 191st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.6 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Missouri State is 65th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 18.3 times per 100 possessions. The Bears are 224th in the country in offensive rating with 99.6. In terms of pace they are 290th in Division 1 with 67.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 219th. As a team they are 200th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 265th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Valparaiso/Missouri State college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Valparaiso +1

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