SMU vs Cincinnati predictions 1/28/20 College Basketball Picks & Tips

Game: SMU Mustangs vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Location: Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ESPW

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 138.5

The SMU Mustangs travel to Fifth Third Arena to play the Cincinnati Bearcats on Tuesday, January 28, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati as 5.5 point favorites.

SMU heads into this matchup with a mark of 15-4. They currently have a point differential of 9.3 as they are averaging 76.5 points per contest while giving up 67.3 per game. Cincinnati has an overall mark of 12-7. They are averaging 73.1 points per contest and giving up 66.0, which is a point differential of 7.1.

Valuable SMU Mustangs Betting Trends

The SMU Mustangs are 11-7-1 against the spread

The SMU Mustangs are 12-7-0 against the over/under

Important Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 8-11-0 against the spread

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 9-10-0 against the over/under

Key SMU Mustangs Injuries

11/14/19 F Jahmar Young Jr. Redshirt is out for season

Key Cincinnati Bearcats Injuries

12/09/19 G Trevor Moore Achilles is out for season
01/04/20 F Prince Toyambi Heart is out for season

Player Spotlight

Tyson Jolly comes into this contest averaging 14.5 points per game while playing 34.2 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 6.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 39% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 71%. Isiaha Mike averages 14.7 points per game in 31.4 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.3 assists per contest and 7.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 52% for the year while his free throw percentage is 89%.

Player Spotlight

Jarron Cumberland averages 14.1 points per game while playing 30.1 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.4 rebounds per game and has 4.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 73%. Chris Vogt averages 13.2 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 28.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.4 rebounds per contest and 0.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 69% and his free throw percentage is 64%.

Useful Team Statistics

SMU averages 76.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 64th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 9.3 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 42nd. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 135th in the nation. They average 39.2 rebounds per game and 16.7 assists per game, which ranks them 45th and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 186th with 13.3 per game. The Mustangs allow 67.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 124th in the country. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 83rd and 247th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 31.9 rebounds a game which ranks 45th and they give up 14.6 assists per contest, which puts them in 295th place in Division 1. They force 12.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 64th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Cincinnati is 130th in the country with 73.1 points per game this year. They are 128th in Division 1 in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 7.1. They shoot 32% from 3-point range, which is good for 272nd in the nation. They are 78th in the NCAA in rebounding with 38.3 boards per game, and 51st in assists per contest with 15.1. The Bearcats are 63rd in turnovers per game with 14.8. The Bearcats surrender 66.0 points per contest, which ranks them 102nd in D-1. Their defense allows a 40% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 62nd and 139th in those defensive statistics. They rank 111th with 11.7 assists allowed per contest and 78th with 33.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bearcats are 254th in country in forcing turnovers with 14.7 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Mustangs are 6th in the nation in offensive rating with 112.5. In terms of pace they are 311th in the country with 66.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 43rd. As a team they are 27th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 90th in Division 1. SMU is 183rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.6 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Cincinnati is 88th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.8 times per 100 possessions. The Bearcats have an offensive rating of 102.1, which is ranked 166th. They are 155th in D-1 in pace with 70.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 169th. As a unit they are 162nd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 237th in the country.

Who will win tonight's SMU/Cincinnati college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Cincinnati -5.5

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