Yale vs North Carolina Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 12/30/2019

Game: Yale Bulldogs vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Date: Monday, December 30, 2019

Location: Dean Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC

TV: FSN

Odds/Point Spread: North Carolina -7.5

Total/Over-Under: 131

The Yale Bulldogs travel to Dean Smith Center to play the North Carolina Tar Heels on Monday, December 30, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has North Carolina as 7.5 point favorites.

Yale comes into this game with an overall record of 10-3. They currently have a point differential of 11.4 as they are averaging 73.5 points per game while giving up 62.1 per contest. North Carolina has an overall mark of 7-5. They are averaging 69.9 points per contest and giving up 68.3, which is a point differential of 1.7.

Valuable Yale Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Yale Bulldogs are 10-2-0 against the spread

The Yale Bulldogs are 5-7-0 against the over/under

Important North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 4-8-0 against the spread

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 2-9-1 against the over/under

Key Yale Bulldogs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key North Carolina Tar Heels Injuries

12/16/19 F Sterling Manley Knee is out for season
12/15/19 G Cole Anthony Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Paul Atkinson comes into this contest averaging 17.2 points per game while playing 32.8 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 7.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 73%. Azar Swain averages 15.2 points per game in 34.2 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.1 assists per contest and 4.2 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 37% for the year while his free throw percentage is 74%.

Player Spotlight

Armando Bacot averages 10.0 points per game while playing 21.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 8.4 rebounds per game and has 0.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is at 54%. Garrison Brooks averages 12.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 8.3 rebounds per contest and 1.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is 65%.

Useful Team Statistics

Yale averages 73.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 151st in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 11.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 74th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 50th in the nation. They average 38.7 rebounds per game and 16.1 assists per game, which ranks them 87th and 45th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 111th with 14.5 per game. The Bulldogs allow 62.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 46th in the country. They also allow a 37% shooting percentage and a 27% average from behind the arc, ranking them 11th and 16th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 33.8 rebounds a game which ranks 120th and they give up 11.2 assists per contest, which puts them in 89th place in Division 1. They force 13.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 94th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

North Carolina is 225th in the country with 69.9 points per game this year. They are 311th in Division 1 in shooting at 41%, while their average scoring margin is 1.7. They shoot 30% from 3-point range, which is good for 306th in the nation. They are 1st in the NCAA in rebounding with 44.6 boards per game, and 190th in assists per contest with 13.3. The Tar Heels are 222nd in turnovers per game with 13.2. The Tar Heels surrender 68.3 points per contest, which ranks them 172nd in D-1. Their defense allows a 40% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 78th and 211th in those defensive statistics. They rank 254th with 13.6 assists allowed per contest and 170th with 35.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Tar Heels are 29th in country in forcing turnovers with 11.9 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Bulldogs have an offensive rating of 102.1, which is ranked 176th. They are 280th in college basketball in pace with 68 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 45th. As a unit they are 68th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 87th in D-1. Yale is 92nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 18.2 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

North Carolina is 275th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.4 times per 100 possessions. The Tar Heels have an offensive rating of 97.8, which is ranked 260th. They are 121st in D-1 in pace with 71.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 45% is 328th. As a unit they are 329th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 48% and they shoot 3-pointers on 30% of their shot attempts, ranking 313th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Yale/North Carolina college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take North Carolina -7.5

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