St. John's vs Arizona Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 12/21/2019

Game: St. John's Red Storm vs Arizona Wildcats

Date: Saturday, December 21, 2019

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona -11.5

Total/Over-Under: 154.5

The St. John's Red Storm head to Chase Center to take on the Arizona Wildcats on Saturday, December 21, 2019. The opening line for this game has Arizona as 11.5 point favorites.

St. John's comes into this game with an overall record of 10-2. They currently have a point differential of 13.8 as they are averaging 80.6 points per game while giving up 66.8 per contest. Arizona has an overall record of 10-2. They are averaging 85.1 points per game and surrendering 64.9, good for a point differential of 20.2.

Valuable St. John's Red Storm Betting Trends

The St. John's Red Storm are 7-4-1 against the spread this season

The St. John's Red Storm are 4-8-0 against the over/under this year

Important Arizona Wildcats Betting Trends

The Arizona Wildcats are 6-6-0 against the spread this season

The Arizona Wildcats are 6-6-0 against the over/under this year

Key St. John's Red Storm Injuries

12/19/19 F Ian Steere Eye is upgraded to questionable
12/18/19 G Mustapha Heron Ankle is questionable

Key Arizona Wildcats Injuries

12/15/19 F Stone Gettings Concussion is questionable
11/22/19 G Devonaire Doutrive Dismissed is out indefinitely
11/05/19 G Brandon Williams Knee is out for season

Player Spotlight

Mustapha Heron comes into this game averaging 15.2 points per contest while playing 25.2 minutes per night this year. He grabs 2.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 69% while his free throw percentage is 78%. LJ Figueroa averages 15.1 points per contest in 27.5 minutes per game. He averages 2.3 assists per game and 5.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 39% for the season while his free throw percentage is 70%.

Player Spotlight

Zeke Nnaji scores 15.9 points per contest while playing 27.7 minutes per game. He hauls in 7.6 rebounds per contest and has 1.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 69% and his free throw percentage is at 81%. Nico Mannion averages 14.4 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 30.0 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.0 rebounds per game and has 6.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

St. John's averages 80.6 points per contest, which is 29th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 13.8 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a unit, which has them ranked 207th. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 205th in the nation. They average 43.3 boards per contest and 15.0 assists per game, which ranks them 6th and 84th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 188th with 13.5 per game. The Red Storm allow 66.8 points per contest, which is 140th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 38% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 30th and 113th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 39.3 rebounds a game which ranks 328th, and they allow 12.9 assists per game which puts them in 215th place in the country. They force 18.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 335th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Arizona is 5th in the nation with 85.1 points per contest this season. They are 14th in the country in shooting at 50%, while their average scoring margin is 20.2. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 27th in the NCAA. They are 135th in D-1 in rebounding with 37.5 boards per contest and 8th in assists per game with 17.6. The Wildcats are 316th in turnovers per contest with 11.7. The Wildcats give up 64.9 points per game, which ranks them 98th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 38% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 21st and 192nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 175th with 12.4 dimes allowed per game and 97th with 33.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Wildcats are 285th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 16.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Red Storm are 111th in the nation in offensive rating with 105.1. In terms of pace they are 17th in the country with 76.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 48% is 250th. As a team they are 248th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 30% of their shots, ranking 318th in Division 1. St. John's is 303rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.7 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Arizona is 326th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.1 times per 100 possessions. The Wildcats have an offensive rating of 116.7, which is ranked 5th. They are 82nd in D-1 in pace with 72.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 23rd. As a unit they are 15th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shot attempts, ranking 266th in the country.

Who will win tonight's St. John's/Arizona college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take St. John's +11.5

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