Arkansas vs Valparaiso College Basketball Game Picks 12/21/2019

Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Valparaiso Crusaders

Date: Saturday, December 21, 2019

Location: Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, IN

TV: TBA

Odds/Point Spread: Valparaiso +13.5

Total/Over-Under: 142.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks head to Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders on Saturday, December 21, 2019. The opening line for this game has Arkansas as 13.5 point favorites.

Arkansas comes into this game with an overall record of 9-1. They currently have a point differential of 16.8 as they are averaging 75.4 points per game while giving up 58.6 per contest. Valparaiso has an overall mark of 7-5. They are averaging 77.0 points per contest and giving up 73.6, which is a point differential of 3.4.

Valuable Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 6-4-0 against the spread this season

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 2-8-0 against the over/under this year

Important Valparaiso Crusaders Betting Trends

The Valparaiso Crusaders are 7-4-0 against the spread this season

The Valparaiso Crusaders are 7-4-0 against the over/under this year

Key Arkansas Razorbacks Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Valparaiso Crusaders Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Mason Jones comes into this game averaging 19.6 points per contest while playing 32.4 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.8 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.2 assists per game. His FG percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is 94%. Isaiah Joe averages 16.4 points per contest in 37.1 minutes per game. He averages 2.6 assists per game and 4.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 38% for the season while his free throw percentage is 79%.

Player Spotlight

Javon Freeman scores 21.8 points per contest while playing 31.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.8 rebounds per contest and has 3.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 72%. Mileek McMillan averages 8.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 16.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.4 rebounds per game and has 1.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 74%.

Useful Team Statistics

Arkansas averages 75.4 points per contest, which is 114th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 16.8 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 105th. From 3-point territory they shoot 29%, which is good for 311th in the nation. They average 34.2 boards per contest and 13.1 assists per game, which ranks them 270th and 196th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 217th with 13.2 per game. The Razorbacks allow 58.6 points per contest, which is 19th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 38% shooting percentage and a 21% average from 3-point range, ranking them 37th and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 36.2 rebounds a game which ranks 228th, and they allow 8.8 assists per game which puts them in 11th place in the country. They force 18.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 340th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Valparaiso is 83rd in the nation with 77.0 points per contest this season. They are 93rd in the country in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 3.4. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 129th in the NCAA. They are 255th in D-1 in rebounding with 34.5 boards per contest and 21st in assists per game with 16.9. The Crusaders are 117th in turnovers per contest with 14.4. The Crusaders give up 73.6 points per game, which ranks them 283rd in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 49% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 340th and 275th in those defensive statistics. They rank 230th with 13.2 dimes allowed per game and 126th with 33.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Crusaders are 311th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 16.9 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Razorbacks are 165th in the nation in offensive rating with 102.6. In terms of pace they are 120th in the country with 71.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 137th. As a team they are 101st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 118th in Division 1. Arkansas is 225th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.2 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Valparaiso is 152nd in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.1 times per 100 possessions. The Crusaders are 114th in the country in offensive rating with 105. In terms of pace they are 87th in Division 1 with 72.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 94th. As a team they are 117th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 169th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Arkansas/Valparaiso college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Arkansas -13.5

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