Yale vs UMass NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions 12/11/2019

Game: Yale Bulldogs vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Location: Mullins Center in Amherst, MA

TV: TBA

Odds/Point Spread: UMass +3.5

Total/Over-Under: 134

The Yale Bulldogs travel to Mullins Center to play the UMass Minutemen on Wednesday, December 11, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Yale as 3.5 point favorites.

Yale comes into this game with an overall record of 8-3. They currently have a point differential of 12.4 as they are averaging 74.4 points per game while giving up 62.0 per contest. UMass has an overall record of 5-5. They are averaging 69.3 points per game and surrendering 70.1, good for a point differential of -0.8.

Valuable Yale Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Yale Bulldogs are 9-1-0 against the spread

The Yale Bulldogs are 4-6-0 against the over/under

Important UMass Minutemen Betting Trends

The UMass Minutemen are 5-5-0 against the spread

The UMass Minutemen are 5-5-0 against the over/under

Key Yale Bulldogs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key UMass Minutemen Injuries

11/11/19 G Kolton Mitchell Hand is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Paul Atkinson comes into this contest averaging 17.1 points per game while playing 32.0 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 7.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 74%. Azar Swain averages 14.9 points per game in 33.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.1 assists per contest and 4.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 36% for the year while his free throw percentage is 74%.

Player Spotlight

T.J. Weeks averages 14.7 points per game while playing 26.0 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.8 rebounds per game and has 0.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 72%. Tre Mitchell averages 12.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 28.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.0 rebounds per contest and 1.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 55%.

Useful Team Statistics

Yale averages 74.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 128th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 12.4 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 94th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 55th in the nation. They average 39.4 rebounds per game and 15.7 assists per game, which ranks them 67th and 60th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 148th with 14.0 per game. The Bulldogs allow 62.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 46th in the country. They also allow a 36% shooting percentage and a 26% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 9th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 34.9 rebounds a game which ranks 165th and they give up 11.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 89th place in Division 1. They force 12.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 90th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

UMass is 242nd in the country with 69.3 points per game this year. They are 221st in Division 1 in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -0.8. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 104th in the nation. They are 326th in the NCAA in rebounding with 31.5 boards per game, and 249th in assists per contest with 12.2. The Minutemen are 223rd in turnovers per game with 13.1. The Minutemen surrender 70.1 points per contest, which ranks them 200th in D-1. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 29% average from 3-point range, ranking them 288th and 57th in those defensive statistics. They rank 262nd with 14.0 assists allowed per contest and 265th with 37.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Minutemen are 228th in country in forcing turnovers with 15.1 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Bulldogs have an offensive rating of 102.8, which is ranked 152nd. They are 261st in college basketball in pace with 68.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 58th. As a unit they are 72nd in the nation in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 89th in D-1. Yale is 130th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.5 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

UMass is 178th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.7 times per 100 possessions. The Minutemen are 223rd in the country in offensive rating with 99.3. In terms of pace they are 213th in Division 1 with 69.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 173rd. As a team they are 180th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 77th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Yale/UMass college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take UMass +3.5

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