Valparaiso vs Eastern Michigan Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 12/3/2019

Game: Valparaiso Crusaders vs Eastern Michigan Eagles

Date: Tuesday, December 3, 2019

Location: EMU Convocation Center in Ypsilanti, MI

TV: TBA

Odds/Point Spread: Eastern Michigan -2.5

Total/Over-Under: 130.5

The Valparaiso Crusaders travel to EMU Convocation Center to play the Eastern Michigan Eagles on Tuesday, December 3, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Eastern Michigan as 2.5 point favorites.

Valparaiso comes into this game with an overall record of 5-3. They currently have a point differential of 2.5 as they are averaging 78.0 points per game while giving up 75.5 per contest. Eastern Michigan has an overall mark of 6-1. They are averaging 71.1 points per contest and giving up 55.1, which is a point differential of 16.0.

Valuable Valparaiso Crusaders Betting Trends

The Valparaiso Crusaders are 5-2-0 against the spread

The Valparaiso Crusaders are 5-2-0 against the over/under

Important Eastern Michigan Eagles Betting Trends

The Eastern Michigan Eagles are 2-2-0 against the spread

The Eastern Michigan Eagles are 1-3-0 against the over/under

Key Valparaiso Crusaders Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Eastern Michigan Eagles Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Ryan Fazekas averages 13.0 points per game in 16.5 minutes per contest. He averages 1.5 assists per contest and 2.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%. Javon Freeman comes into this contest averaging 22.0 points per game while playing 31.4 minutes per night. He pulls down 6.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 39% while his free throw percentage is at 76%.

Player Spotlight

Yeikson Montero averages 10.6 points per game and he sees the court an average of 22.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.3 rebounds per contest and 2.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 37% and his free throw percentage is 67%. Ty Groce averages 11.0 points per game while playing 28.4 minutes per contest. He grabs 5.1 rebounds per game and has 1.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 70%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Crusaders allow 75.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 302nd in Division 1. They also allow a 49% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 337th and 262nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 35.0 rebounds a game which ranks 164th, and they give up 14.9 assists per contest which puts them in 301st place in the NCAA. They force 17.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 314th in the nation. Valparaiso averages 78.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 75th in the country. Their average scoring margin is 2.5 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 157th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 187th in D-1. They average 36.0 rebounds per game and 15.9 assists per contest, which ranks them 204th and 58th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 128th with 14.4 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Eagles surrender 55.1 points per contest, which ranks them 10th in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 147th and 252nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 125th with 11.6 assists allowed per contest, and 58th with 31.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Eagles are 348th in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 21.4 per game. Eastern Michigan is 206th in the country with 71.1 points per game this year. They are 160th in the D-1 in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is 16.0. They shoot 32% from 3-point range, which is good for 237th in the nation. They are 214th in the country in rebounding with 35.6 boards per game and 282nd in assists per contest with 11.4. The Eagles are 136th in turnovers per game with 14.3.

Advanced Statistics

The Crusaders have an offensive rating of 103.8, which is ranked 134th. They are 61st in college basketball in pace with 74 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 173rd. As a unit they are 155th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 200th in D-1. Valparaiso is 194th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Eastern Michigan is 123rd in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.7 times per 100 possessions. The Eagles have an offensive rating of 104.6, which is ranked 113th. They are 280th in D-1 in pace with 68 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 183rd. As a unit they are 154th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 211th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Valparaiso/Eastern Michigan college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Eastern Michigan -2.5

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