Texas Tech at Virginia Expert NCAA Championship Picks 4/8/2019

Monday, April 8, 2019

US. Bank Stadium

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders head to US. Bank Stadium to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Monday in the NCAA National Championship game. Texas Tech pulled away from Michigan State in the Final Four 61-51 while Virginia won a controversial game against Auburn 63-62. Kyle Guy sank 3 free throws when he was fouled with 0.6 seconds left to give Virginia the win. The opening line for this game has Virginia as 1.5 point favorites.

Texas Tech heads into this matchup with a mark of 31-6. They currently have a point differential of 13.9 as they are averaging 73.0 points per contest while giving up 59.0 per game. Virginia has an overall record of 34-3. They are averaging 71.3 points per game and surrendering 55.4, good for a point differential of 15.9.

Valuable Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Trends

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 20-16-1 against the spread this season

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 13-17-1 against the over/under this year

Important Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Virginia Cavaliers are 25-12-0 against the spread this season

The Virginia Cavaliers are 14-16-0 against the over/under this year

Key Texas Tech Red Raiders Injuries

04/07/19 F Tariq Owens Ankle injured last game, is probable Monday vs Virginia
02/11/19 F Khavon Moore Medical is out for season

Key Virginia Cavaliers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Jarrett Culver comes into this game averaging 18.9 points per contest while playing 32.2 minutes per night this year. He grabs 6.4 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is 71%. Davide Moretti averages 11.6 points per contest in 31.1 minutes per game. He averages 2.2 assists per game and 2.0 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 50% for the season while his free throw percentage is 92%.

Player Spotlight

Kyle Guy scores 15.2 points per contest while playing 35.0 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.6 rebounds per contest and has 2.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. De'Andre Hunter averages 14.9 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 32.0 minutes per game. He also brings in 5.0 rebounds per game and has 2.0 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 52% and his free throw percentage is 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

Texas Tech averages 73.0 points per contest, which is 157th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 13.9 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 46th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 69th in the nation. They average 34.2 boards per contest and 13.4 assists per game, which ranks them 239th and 180th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 237th with 12.3 per game. The Red Raiders allow 59.0 points per contest, which is 3rd in the NCAA. They also surrender a 37% shooting percentage and a 29% average from 3-point range, ranking them 2nd and 8th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 32.8 rebounds a game which ranks 66th, and they allow 9.8 assists per game which puts them in 5th place in the country. They force 15.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 330th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Virginia is 211th in the nation with 71.3 points per contest this season. They are 37th in the country in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 15.9. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 7th in the NCAA. They are 204th in D-1 in rebounding with 34.9 boards per contest and 104th in assists per game with 14.3. The Cavaliers are 351st in turnovers per contest with 9.0. The Cavaliers give up 55.4 points per game, which ranks them 1st in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 38% shooting percentage and a 29% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 5th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 2nd with 8.8 dimes allowed per game and 7th with 29.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Cavaliers are 27th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 10.9 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Red Raiders are 100th in the nation in offensive rating with 107. In terms of pace they are 246th in the country with 68 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 67th. As a team they are 58th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 256th in Division 1. Texas Tech is 181st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Virginia is 344th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.7 times per 100 possessions. The Cavaliers have an offensive rating of 116.5, which is ranked 4th. They are 351st in D-1 in pace with 60.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 26th. As a unit they are 27th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 150th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Texas Tech/Virginia college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Texas Tech +1.5

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