Texas Tech at Michigan Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 3/28/2019

Thursday, March 28, 2019

Honda Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders travel to Honda Center to play the Michigan Wolverines on Thursday in the Sweet 16. The opening line for this matchup has Michigan as 1.5 point favorites.

Texas Tech heads into this matchup with a mark of 28-6. They currently have a point differential of 14.0 as they are averaging 73.2 points per contest while giving up 59.2 per game. Michigan has an overall record of 30-6. They are averaging 70.3 points per game and surrendering 58.2, good for a point differential of 12.1.

Valuable Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Trends

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 17-16-1 against the spread

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 13-17-1 against the over/under

Important Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends

The Michigan Wolverines are 21-15-0 against the spread

The Michigan Wolverines are 13-18-0 against the over/under

Key Texas Tech Red Raiders Injuries

02/11/19 F Khavon Moore Medical is out for season

Key Michigan Wolverines Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Jarrett Culver comes into this contest averaging 18.8 points per game while playing 32.1 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 6.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 70%. Davide Moretti averages 11.5 points per game in 31.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.2 assists per contest and 2.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 50% for the year while his free throw percentage is 92%.

Player Spotlight

Ignas Brazdeikis averages 14.8 points per game while playing 29.5 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 5.2 rebounds per game and has 0.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 77%. Jordan Poole averages 12.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.9 rebounds per contest and 2.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Texas Tech averages 73.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 154th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 14.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 37th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 63rd in the nation. They average 34.4 rebounds per game and 13.5 assists per game, which ranks them 231st and 170th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 233rd with 12.4 per game. The Red Raiders allow 59.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 3rd in the country. They also allow a 37% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the arc, ranking them 2nd and 19th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.4 rebounds a game which ranks 55th and they give up 9.6 assists per contest, which puts them in 4th place in Division 1. They force 15.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 331st in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Michigan is 243rd in the country with 70.3 points per game this year. They are 134th in Division 1 in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 12.1. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 152nd in the nation. They are 179th in the NCAA in rebounding with 35.3 boards per game, and 127th in assists per contest with 14.0. The Wolverines are 351st in turnovers per game with 8.9. The Wolverines surrender 58.2 points per contest, which ranks them 2nd in D-1. Their defense allows a 40% shooting percentage and a 29% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 5th in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 10.1 assists allowed per contest and 155th with 34.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Wolverines are 74th in country in forcing turnovers with 11.8 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Red Raiders are 84th in the nation in offensive rating with 107.5. In terms of pace they are 254th in the country with 67.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 55th. As a team they are 54th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 260th in Division 1. Texas Tech is 171st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.2 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Michigan is 348th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions. The Wolverines have an offensive rating of 107.5, which is ranked 86th. They are 331st in D-1 in pace with 65.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 127th. As a unit they are 154th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 140th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Texas Tech/Michigan college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Michigan -1.5

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