North Carolina vs Alabama Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 11/27/2019

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Date: Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Location: Imperial Arena in Paradise Island, BS

TV: ESPN, ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Alabama +9

Total/Over-Under: 158

The North Carolina Tar Heels head to Imperial Arena to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide on Wednesday, November 27, 2019. The opening line for this game has North Carolina as 9 point favorites.

North Carolina comes into this game with an overall record of 4-0. They currently have a point differential of 14.3 as they are averaging 76.5 points per game while giving up 62.3 per contest. Alabama has an overall mark of 2-2. They are averaging 79.5 points per contest and giving up 76.5, which is a point differential of 3.0.

Valuable North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 1-3-0 against the spread this season

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 0-4-0 against the over/under this year

Important Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 2-2-0 against the spread this season

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 3-1-0 against the over/under this year

Key North Carolina Tar Heels Injuries

11/23/19 G Jeremiah Francis Knee is questionable
11/20/19 G Anthony Harris Ankle is questionable
11/05/19 F Sterling Manley Knee is out indefinitely
11/05/19 G Brandon Robinson Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Alabama Crimson Tide Injuries

11/11/19 G Jahvon Quinerly Eligibility is out for season
11/05/19 F Juwan Gary Knee is out for season

Player Spotlight

Cole Anthony comes into this game averaging 22.8 points per contest while playing 35.0 minutes per night this year. He grabs 8.0 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.5 assists per game. His FG percentage is 52% while his free throw percentage is 67%. Garrison Brooks averages 12.0 points per contest in 33.8 minutes per game. He averages 3.0 assists per game and 8.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 52% for the season while his free throw percentage is 73%.

Player Spotlight

Kira Lewis Jr. scores 21.5 points per contest while playing 38.0 minutes per game. He hauls in 6.5 rebounds per contest and has 5.0 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 52% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. Jaden Shackelford averages 15.8 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 27.8 minutes per game. He also brings in 3.8 rebounds per game and has 1.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

North Carolina averages 76.5 points per contest, which is 117th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 14.3 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a unit, which has them ranked 227th. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 182nd in the nation. They average 51.3 boards per contest and 16.5 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 58th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 220th with 13.0 per game. The Tar Heels allow 62.3 points per contest, which is 86th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 35% shooting percentage and a 27% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 50th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 31.8 rebounds a game which ranks 59th, and they allow 12.3 assists per game which puts them in 173rd place in the country. They force 10.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 9th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Alabama is 79th in the nation with 79.5 points per contest this season. They are 188th in the country in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is 3.0. They shoot 29% from beyond the arc, which is good for 286th in the NCAA. They are 26th in D-1 in rebounding with 42.5 boards per contest and 128th in assists per game with 14.5. The Crimson Tide are 3rd in turnovers per contest with 19.5. The Crimson Tide give up 76.5 points per game, which ranks them 302nd in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 40% shooting percentage and a 27% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 131st and 48th in those defensive statistics. They rank 161st with 12.0 dimes allowed per game and 121st with 33.8 boards surrendered per contest. The Crimson Tide are 55th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 12.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Tar Heels are 139th in the nation in offensive rating with 104.1. In terms of pace they are 93rd in the country with 73.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 48% is 242nd. As a team they are 259th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 279th in Division 1. North Carolina is 273rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.7 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Alabama is 30th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 20.9 times per 100 possessions. The Crimson Tide have an offensive rating of 98.1, which is ranked 229th. They are 7th in D-1 in pace with 81.1 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 187th. As a unit they are 158th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 60th in the country.

Who will win tonight's North Carolina/Alabama college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take North Carolina -9

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